#美联储利率政策 Non-farm payroll report coming next week, and Citi's forecast is quite interesting. A decrease of 45,000 jobs in October, then a rebound with an increase of 80,000 in November? This move looks good on the data, but economists say it might just be seasonal adjustment, and the real improvement in employment demand is not necessarily there. The unemployment rate is also expected to rise from 4.4% to 4.52%, which is basically in line with the Federal Reserve's own forecast.
The key point is that there are now significant disagreements within the Federal Reserve. They have cut interest rates to a three-year low, but officials are still arguing whether to prioritize tackling inflation or supporting employment. Once this report is released, the conflicting signals could become even more apparent, and market reactions are expected to be quite interesting. The crypto market is likely to follow the volatility, as macro data often causes capital sentiment to shift quickly. Be prepared mentally; things might not stay calm in the near future.
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#美联储利率政策 Non-farm payroll report coming next week, and Citi's forecast is quite interesting. A decrease of 45,000 jobs in October, then a rebound with an increase of 80,000 in November? This move looks good on the data, but economists say it might just be seasonal adjustment, and the real improvement in employment demand is not necessarily there. The unemployment rate is also expected to rise from 4.4% to 4.52%, which is basically in line with the Federal Reserve's own forecast.
The key point is that there are now significant disagreements within the Federal Reserve. They have cut interest rates to a three-year low, but officials are still arguing whether to prioritize tackling inflation or supporting employment. Once this report is released, the conflicting signals could become even more apparent, and market reactions are expected to be quite interesting. The crypto market is likely to follow the volatility, as macro data often causes capital sentiment to shift quickly. Be prepared mentally; things might not stay calm in the near future.