#美联储回购协议计划 It is now Monday, December 29, 2025. $ETH showed little movement last night; basically, the market funds are on the sidelines, and liquidity is clearly tightening. In my opinion, whether there will be a breakout in the early trading session depends on luck, but it’s certain that at this price level, some traders are itching to buy the dip or cut positions, after all, having been range-bound for so long, someone is bound to lose patience.

The market outlook remains the same old story: locked within the 2850-3050 range. The idea is simple—if the price surges toward 3050 but fails to break through, and forms a pin bar, consider shorting; conversely, if it drops toward 2850 but doesn’t break below, and also forms a pin bar, then go long.

**For longs**, the key support levels are 2920, 2900, 2880, and 2850. As long as the 2850 level isn’t broken, any pin bar formation at these levels can be a signal to enter long positions. But be cautious—if it breaks below 2880, stay alert for a potential increase in selling volume pushing toward the next support. The target for longs should be aligned with the entry points for shorts, with partial exits along the way, gradually moving stop-losses up to lock in profits. Remember to keep some core positions; perhaps a breakout will happen.

**For shorts**, the resistance levels are 2980, 3000, 3030, and 3050. If the price hits these levels and forms a pin bar or repeatedly tests but fails to break through, that’s a signal to enter short. Start with short-term positions, with targets near the long entry points and the 2850 support level, taking profits in stages. Don’t close all positions at once—leave some core positions to see if a breakdown occurs. If there’s no sign of a rally below 3030, and it tests 3050, in extreme conditions, the price might fake out to around 3090. At that point, be sharp-eyed to distinguish between a true breakout and a false one.

That’s how the market is—patience and range-bound trading will bring opportunities naturally.