12.29

The US stock market holiday schedule during New Year's Day is as follows:‌ January 1st (Thursday) closed for one day‌,‌ resuming normal trading from January 2nd (Friday)‌; additionally,‌ on the evening of December 31st (Wednesday), the US stock market will‌ close early‌,‌ and on January 1, 2026,‌ the market will‌ be closed all day.

The Federal Reserve released the December monetary policy minutes at 03:00 on December 31st. The December meeting minutes can provide a clearer understanding of the current internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve, the points of controversy, and plans for future interest rate paths.

The new week continues to revolve around holidays and low liquidity, so pay attention to the risks of short-term market volatility. Patience is needed as liquidity truly recovers!

BTC
Currently, Bitcoin remains in a range-bound oscillation, but the current position is increasingly approaching the end of the triangle, indicating an imminent breakout. Today, focus on Japan's interest rate hike and this week's monetary policy minutes. The current market does not have much to say; the outlook remains unchanged. However, I personally believe that the short-term probability of breaking above 86,000 is higher. This week also faces New Year's Day market closure, so trading time will be shortened. Be patient and wait for a directional move. Support at 87,200-86,000, resistance at 88,600-89,400.

ETH
Ethereum, combined with Bitcoin at this position, requires attention to a potential trend change on the daily chart. In the short term, the probability of moving higher without breaking 2,820 is greater. Keep an eye on whether it can hold above 3,020. Support at 2,900-2,820, resistance at 3,990-3,020.