Time flies, and 2026 is already here. Looking back, the market has been rather lackluster. Looking ahead, honestly, there's not much to expect—2026 might be even tougher, and 2027 won't be much better.

From a technical perspective, the weekly chart has already closed. The current situation is that the weekly line is being firmly suppressed by moving averages, but interestingly, other indicators are signaling a potential trend reversal. Will it go up or down? That's the question.

My judgment is that the probability of an upward move is greater. The reason is simple: the support strength at higher timeframes is clearly stronger than the resistance at lower levels, which means the trend continuation is more likely than a reversal. So, the rebound probably won't take too long and may come soon.

Of course, the monthly chart indicates that this rebound is likely just a prelude to a more spectacular decline. In the short term, the main theme is a rebound. But once the rebound is in place, the short position must be taken.

The overall strategy is: focus on rebounds in the near term, and once the rebound is sufficient, switch to short positions. The overall trend of Bitcoin and Ethereum is aligned, so pay attention to this key node.