XRP four-hour chart is brewing a trend choice. The resistance at 1.9 is a psychological barrier, while 1.8 has become a line of defense. Recently, an interesting piece of information emerged — an institution's XRP holdings are floating at a loss of over $220 million.

The data is quite striking: they hold 389 million XRP, having invested $950 million at the time, now only worth $720 million. Why is such a large gap still there? There are only two possibilities — one is to stubbornly wait for the bull market turnaround, and the other is that there are other plans behind the scenes. This judgment is key to predicting the subsequent trend.

From the candlestick perspective, MACD is already brewing a death cross turning into a golden cross, with signs of a short-term rebound gradually appearing. Regarding resistance levels, 1.876 is the first hurdle, and 1.95 is a hard top; a one-time breakthrough is unlikely. Support is at 1.825; if broken, watch whether 1.77 can hold. Currently, XRP is hovering around 1.86, with trading volume clearly shrinking, and both bulls and bears are waiting for a breakout signal.

Trading strategy considerations are as follows: at the 1.876-1.9 level, try reducing positions or lightly shorting, targeting 1.83-1.825. For reverse operations, if the price pulls back to stabilize at 1.77-1.78, take a small long position to catch the rebound to 1.85. The key is discipline — don’t go all-in to gamble on the direction, use small positions to explore, and add more gradually after confirming the trend.

The most probable short-term scenario is a rally to test 1.876, even reaching near 1.9, but breaking through 1.95 will not be easy. This large loss by the institution actually signals that selling pressure might be limited — institutions generally do not easily stop-loss and pile into dumps. On the other hand, it also indicates that short-term new funds are insufficient, making the market prone to repeated rises and falls.