2025-12-26 10:24:49

The market has experienced quite a bit of volatility recently. After Christmas, various news factors have gradually been digested, and the market has fallen into a relatively quiet state. From a technical perspective, we may currently be in a consolidation phase.

Based on recent trends, there is a high probability of a rebound in the next 1 to 2 weeks. I have already taken a lightly leveraged long position, expecting Bitcoin to stabilize around 104,000, while Ethereum faces resistance near 3,800.

But to be honest, I am not very optimistic about the overall market outlook for 2026. The current market changes are becoming faster and faster, and market participants are becoming more savvy. The difficulty of achieving stable profits is increasing. So if there is an opportunity to make money, it’s important to seize the current window.

BTC-0,43%

ETH-0,64%

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MetaverseHobo

· 10h ago

The feeling of bottoming out during the accumulation phase still feels a bit anxious... Hearing you say that, I actually feel like I should get off early.

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MidnightSnapHunter

· 10h ago

The window period is well explained. Anyway, I can't earn 2026 money, so I'll take what's in front of me first.

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RektDetective

· 10h ago

Small long positions sound okay, but I'm worried about a false breakout during the rebound... We've seen it too many times.

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WhaleMistaker

· 10h ago

The idea of a momentum rebound has become so overused that it’s almost worn out; let’s see if it can really break the level. Bottom-fishing, bottom-fishing, in the end, everyone turns into a top-fishing expert. The outlook for 2026 is not optimistic + now is the time to seize the window; this logic is a bit desperate, it feels like just trying to make quick money. The 104,000 level sounds very confident, but when it actually happens, will it be a false breakout again? After playing for so long, you're still trading lightly; it seems you’re also getting nervous.

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SignatureCollector

· 11h ago

Tired of the phrase "building momentum for a rebound," every time it's said, but what’s the result? Whether the 104,000 level can be held is uncertain; I think it's a gamble. However, I agree that 2026 looks pessimistic. The market is indeed becoming more competitive, and retail investors find it increasingly difficult to operate. Forget it, let's focus on short-term trading. Long-term holding is really exhausting.

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GasFeeSurvivor

· 11h ago

Building momentum? I think it's just preparing to cut our leeks haha --- At the 104,000 mark, I bet five bucks it won't reach --- You're right about the window period, but don't forget there are many smarter people in the market than you --- Good to hold a small position; that way, the psychological pressure is less when liquidation happens --- I'm not optimistic about 2026, but isn't it a bit early to say that now? --- Instead of predicting a rebound, it's better to see what other negative news might come later --- Seriously, if this wave really rebounds, I'll just cash out and run, no more greed --- Ethereum at 3800? Dream on, with the current environment --- It's called a window period in a nice way; in a harsh way, it's the last chance to get in

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