2025-12-26 10:24:27

BlackRock suddenly sold 22,900 Bitcoins, cashing out over $200 million in one go. Just before BTC broke through $88,000 and ahead of the Federal Reserve report release, this move does seem a bit "precise." Many are starting to worry: is the bull market story at the big bottom about to come to an end?

But there's an overlooked pattern worth pondering.

Looking back at Bitcoin's historical ledger, you'll find that it has never had two consecutive years of annual declines. Never. Consider these cycles: in 2014, it fell, then in 2015, it rebounded; in 2018, it plunged, then in 2019, it took off; the most extreme was 2022's tumble, which was nearly recovered by 2023 with a nearly 160% increase. The average annual gain over these years is as high as 126%.

The logic is simple: the harsher the correction, the more ferocious the subsequent rebound. If 2025 still ends in a decline, projecting forward based on this cycle, the target range for 2026 could be between $125,000 and $200,000.

So, BlackRock's recent sell-off? Rather than viewing it as bearish, it's more like short-term profit-taking. Institutional players get full and then exit—that's normal. The long-term bull narrative won't reverse just because of this noise.

The real big move is often hidden in times when bears and bulls are fighting fiercely, and the market is full of pessimism. Isn't that the current environment? Patience is the most valuable, and those who respect the cycle will be the ones laughing in the end.

Currently, continue to monitor BTC movements, Ethereum trends, and the interaction within the privacy coin ecosystem. The rhythm of the bull market is actually hidden within these fluctuations. What do you think about the upcoming trend?

BTC0,09%

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DeadTrades_Walking

· 15h ago

BlackRock is playing tricks again. If you can't see through the tactics of these institutional traders, you'll eventually lose money. Are institutions panicking when they dump the market? Laughable. The historical cycle is right there. Hitting 200,000 in 2026? Maybe Bitcoin will have already broken through by then. Such conservative estimates are pointless. Discipline is easy to talk about but hard to practice, brother. I understand taking short-term profits and cashing out, but the key depends on what the Federal Reserve does. The Fed is the real market mover. Actually, in this kind of volatile environment, it's a good time to lay low. When BTC drops, I buy; when it rises, I hold. All in the face of the cycle. What BlackRock sells in such volume is nothing. The market depth is so deep, why panic? The real winners are those who can ride the next bull market. Short-term fluctuations are just noise. 2025 isn't over yet; it's too early to draw conclusions.

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OnchainDetectiveBing

· 12-27 18:35

It's not surprising that BlackRock runs away; institutions just cut and run. The real winners are those of us who can endure.

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MidnightSeller

· 12-26 10:54

BlackRock is selling, just sell it. Anyway, history has already told us that there are no two consecutive years of decline, and this time won't be an exception. Institutions get full and run, so we stay firm and hold on.

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Layer2Observer

· 12-26 10:54

Data speaks for itself; historical cycles indeed cannot be denied. But the argument that "it has never declined for two consecutive years"... is a bit too absolute and needs to consider the sample size. Taking profits and cashing out is correct; BlackRock is BlackRock, no need to assign too much narrative. The real key is still the on-chain activity and the changes in institutional holdings structure.

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DiamondHands

· 12-26 10:53

BlackRock selling, just selling. It's normal for institutions to sell and run after getting enough, and retail investors still want to keep playing. Historical patterns are right here; it has never declined for two consecutive years. The 2026 target is 125,000 to 200,000. Just thinking about it is exciting. These current noises are nothing at all. The real big market trend is hidden within this panic. Staying calm is the most valuable, and what you said is right.

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BlockchainTherapist

· 12-26 10:51

BlackRock can just run away if they want. After institutions finish harvesting the retail investors, they can withdraw. Meanwhile, retail investors will continue to wait for the $125,000 to $200,000 mark in 2026... Steadfastness is truly the most valuable thing.

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SeasonedInvestor

· 12-26 10:35

The more aggressively BlackRock sells, the more retail investors should laugh. The market is right in the middle of panic.

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FUD_Whisperer

· 12-26 10:35

BlackRock shipping out? Haha, institutions are just cutting losses and taking profits, and the bears want to spin a story again. The history is right here; it has never fallen for two consecutive years. Why should this time be any different? The target for 2026 is 125,000 to 200,000. Just wait and see.

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AirdropChaser

· 12-26 10:28

BlackRock's sell-off is just a routine move by institutions, no need to panic. History has never seen two consecutive years of decline; this pattern is clear, and resilience is the real hard currency.

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