Recently, US employment data has continued to show signs of weakness, prompting the market to seriously consider a question: Is the Federal Reserve really likely to pivot earlier?



Many analysis institutions are raising their expectations for a rate cut in 2026. This may sound like a distant matter, but for asset allocators, it’s actually a key signal. Historically, whenever liquidity conditions begin to change, the flow of funds tends to shift subtly — it often seeks assets that have been suppressed in low-liquidity environments. The performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum in this capital migration is worth paying close attention to.

But here’s an interesting paradox: there may be personnel changes in the Federal Reserve decision-making team next year, and this uncertainty can indeed create noise. However, what truly determines the market’s direction is never who is sitting in that chair, but rather the story told by economic data itself.

If you want to seize opportunities in this potential cycle, these three points may be worth considering:

First, the macro environment evolves weekly. The Fed’s statements, non-farm payroll data, inflation indicators — these seemingly dull numbers are often the fuse for market moves. Staying continuously informed is far more effective than regretting afterward.

Second, clearly distinguish between investing and speculating. Bitcoin and Ethereum may benefit from a loose liquidity cycle in the long run, but blindly chasing gains during short-term volatility can be costly. Buying into your truly favored core assets on dips is always a wiser approach.

Finally, be a friend of time. Market fluctuations are frequent, but once a major trend forms, it’s hard to reverse. Instead of chasing every short-term wave, focus your energy on grasping the big direction.

True opportunities often appear before most people notice. Are you already preparing for the possible liquidity turning point?
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OnlyOnMainnetvip
· 8h ago
It's the same old story, how long has the rate cut expectation been hyped up, and the coin prices still look the same. Why start talking about "being friends with time" again? Just say not to chase the rally and be done with it. The Fed changing personnel, honestly, is just the market looking for an excuse. In assets with low liquidity being suppressed? Mainly it depends on whether they can actually fall to the right level. Can non-farm payroll data really decide anything? I think it's more about emotional factors. Buying on dips sounds easy to say, but I'm afraid the low point is always in the next one. When will the liquidity turning point come? Feels like we're always waiting. No matter how eloquently it's explained, it can't change the short-term volatility. Worrying about 2026 now might be a bit too early. Just surviving this year is already good. So, should we stockpile coins now or run away?
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OfflineValidatorvip
· 8h ago
Wait, when employment data is weak, everyone rushes into crypto—is this logic really true... I always feel like this kind of reasoning can be applied anywhere. Buying core assets on dips, sounds good in theory, but isn't it really just betting on liquidity actually coming? What about 2026? I wonder how many crashes we need to go through now to wait for that. Be a friend of time, okay, but then my friend has to survive the next round of halving first. Really? There’s a new analysis like this every week. I just want to know who actually made money from this.
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DeadTrades_Walkingvip
· 8h ago
Even if the Federal Reserve really shifts its stance, so what? Who can accurately predict personnel changes... In my opinion, instead of obsessing over economic data and trying to figure it out, it's better to take a good look at how long your BTC holdings can last. Liquidity turning point? Nice words, but when it actually happens, we've already been cut once, haha.
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MoonMathMagicvip
· 8h ago
Talking about interest rate cuts and Bitcoin taking off again—I've heard this so many times my ears are getting calloused. Wait a minute, let's stay cautious. Who knows what kind of surprises the Federal Reserve's personnel changes next year might bring? Dipping in to build positions is really the right approach, but I just don't know where the bottom is. Wake up, data changes every week, and there are plenty of people chasing gains and cutting losses. Instead of obsessing over non-farm payroll data every day, why not first ask yourself how many bullets you still have in your pocket? Liquidity turning point? Sounds too uncertain. I’d rather hold onto my spot holdings first.
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P2ENotWorkingvip
· 8h ago
The expectation of interest rate cuts is back. Is this really happening this time? Feels like it's always the same every time... Buying on dips is the way to go; those chasing the rally will eventually suffer losses. The shift in liquidity has been underway for a while; it all depends on who can react first. Do we need to think about 2026 now? That's a bit early. Let's first focus on the current data. It's that same old "making friends with time" strategy. Easy to say, but few can actually hold on. The Fed changing personnel doesn't matter; the economic data still rules. Don't be fooled by the noise. Can Bitcoin really absorb this wave of liquidity, or is it just another hype? Short-term volatility is fierce. Buying on dips sounds simple, but timing the entry is the real challenge. The macro situation changes weekly, with information overload. Ordinary people simply can't keep up. When the liquidity turning point arrives, of course, you need to be prepared. But prepared for what? Isn't it just gambling?
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GraphGuruvip
· 8h ago
I've seen this wave of momentum coming for a long time, just waiting for the Fed to truly loosen its stance, BTC and ETH will surge wildly. Wait, what's the use of worrying about 2026 now? The key is how the non-farm payroll data will perform this week. I'm just afraid of another wolf coming, I've been fooled three times already. Should I really "buy the dip" this time or keep observing... Data is king; talking about personnel changes is just a smokescreen, that's true. I'm overwhelmed, too many short-term traders. I'll continue dollar-cost averaging anyway; after all, time is my friend.
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CrossChainMessengervip
· 8h ago
Damn, do I have to wait until 2026? Will my coins still be alive by then? Haha
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