2025-12-26 08:22:47

Hidden Risks in Prediction Markets: $200K Whale Manipulation Plan Ends in $190K Loss

Risk cases in prediction market ecosystems are worth paying attention to. On a prediction market platform with an FDV exceeding $50 million, a large-scale player attempted to control the price movement of $KDK through concentrated buying.

This investor投入了约20万美元的资金，打算通过市价买入推高$KDK价格。然而现实往往比预期残酷——价格始终无法站稳0.50美元上方。最终的K线图记录下了这场失利：收盘价仅为0.4909美元。这笔操纵计划最后以近19万美元的亏损黯然收场，投资者最终被迫以约0.3美元左右的价格割肉离场。

This real case reveals a hidden risk in prediction markets: even with sufficient funds, the market's complexity and participant diversity can break through attempts at unilateral price manipulation. Liquidity confrontations, counter-trader sniping, and uncontrollable market psychology can all cause ambitious whales to stumble. For participants, this serves as both a warning and a reflection of the market's self-correcting mechanism.

KDK0,52%

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kmb329

· 5h ago

The calculation is incorrect. Even if bought at 0.5 and sold at 0.3, it's only a 40% loss.

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FOMOSapien

· 6h ago

200,000 invested with 95% loss—that's the true face of the prediction market. No matter how much money you have, it can't change the fate of being counter-sniped.

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TopBuyerBottomSeller

· 6h ago

$200,000 to manipulate the market? Ha, the market has taught him a lesson Cutting 0.3 on the loss is too deep, this is called a gambler's mentality The predicted market is too complex, even big fish can capsize Trying to show off with operations, but instead being countered by the market, serves him right Why doesn't this guy keep adding to his position? Does he lack confidence? Big players are just big players, losing is also quite straightforward It hurts just looking at it, $190,000 gone like that, might as well lie flat

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RektCoaster

· 6h ago

200,000 entered, 190,000 came out. That's the fate of trying to manipulate the market haha

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NFT_Therapy_Group

· 6h ago

$200,000 just to handle prediction markets? Uh, that's too naive. Big players can also crash and burn, which is the most magical part of Web3. Really, reverse traders are ruthless when they strike.

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