Using the benchmark of approximately $87,200 for BTC on December 23, 2025, at 11:00, combined with technical analysis, options strategies, and market sentiment, the executable trading list for three scenarios on December 24 is as follows:
- Core logic: A breakout above $90,000 with sustained momentum will attract bullish capital and open up upward space. - Entry: - Price level: 89800-90000 (pullback confirms effective breakthrough) - Trigger conditions: Breakthrough of 90000 on the 1-hour level with increased volume, and a pullback that does not fall below 89500, with trading volume ≥ 1.2 times the average volume of the last 5 days. - Stop Loss: 89000 (If it falls below the lower edge of the breakout consolidation platform, the probability of a false breakout is high) - Take Profit: - Target 1 (Short-term): 91000 (Secondary resistance level) - Target 2 (Swing): 92500 (near previous high), can take profit in batches, move stop loss for remaining position to 90500
2. Scenario 2: Range Oscillation (Balance between Bulls and Bears)
- Core logic: Playing in the range of 87000-90000, without a clear direction, mainly focusing on high selling and low buying. - Long Position Strategy: - Entry: 87200-87500 - Trigger Condition: A hammer candlestick or morning star appears on the 15-minute chart, and there is a MACD bottom divergence. - Stop loss: 86800 (breaks below recent fluctuation range lower bound) - Take profit: 88800-89000 (upper range) - Short Position Strategy: - Entry: 89500-89800 - Trigger conditions: A shooting star/dark cloud cover appears on the 15-minute level, and RSI is overbought (>70) - Stop Loss: 90200 (breaks above the upper limit of the range, short position logic invalidated) - Take Profit: 88000-88200 (lower range)
3. Scenario 3: Weak Breakout (Bearish Dominance)
- Core logic: Breaking below the key support at 87000 triggers a chain of stop-losses, initiating a deep correction. - Entry: - Range: 86800-87000 (Confirmation of rebound validity break) - Trigger conditions: Break below 87000 on the 1-hour level, weak rebound and pressure at 87500, MACD bearish volume increase. - Stop loss: 87500 (Rebound to fill the gap, stop loss for short position exits) - Take Profit: - Target 1 (Short-term): 85500 (Golden Ratio Support Level) - Target 2 (Swing): 84000 (Strong Support Level), can take profits in batches, move the stop loss of the remaining position to 86000.
4. Key Points of Trade Execution
1. Position Management: The maximum position for a single scenario should not exceed 20% of the total funds to avoid heavy bets in one direction. 2. Time Window: Focus on 0-4, 8-10, and 20-22 (periods of relatively active trading volume) 3. Risk Control: Trigger stop-loss to exit immediately, holding positions is prohibited; after reaching the target 1 for take profit, you may move the stop-loss up/down to the cost price to lock in profits. 4. Special Reminder: Beware of the long and short trap行情 before the Options delivery, strictly execute according to the trigger conditions, and do not blindly chase orders.
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Using the benchmark of approximately $87,200 for BTC on December 23, 2025, at 11:00, combined with technical analysis, options strategies, and market sentiment, the executable trading list for three scenarios on December 24 is as follows:
1. Scenario 1: Strong Breakthrough (Bullish Trend Established)
- Core logic: A breakout above $90,000 with sustained momentum will attract bullish capital and open up upward space.
- Entry:
- Price level: 89800-90000 (pullback confirms effective breakthrough)
- Trigger conditions: Breakthrough of 90000 on the 1-hour level with increased volume, and a pullback that does not fall below 89500, with trading volume ≥ 1.2 times the average volume of the last 5 days.
- Stop Loss: 89000 (If it falls below the lower edge of the breakout consolidation platform, the probability of a false breakout is high)
- Take Profit:
- Target 1 (Short-term): 91000 (Secondary resistance level)
- Target 2 (Swing): 92500 (near previous high), can take profit in batches, move stop loss for remaining position to 90500
2. Scenario 2: Range Oscillation (Balance between Bulls and Bears)
- Core logic: Playing in the range of 87000-90000, without a clear direction, mainly focusing on high selling and low buying.
- Long Position Strategy:
- Entry: 87200-87500
- Trigger Condition: A hammer candlestick or morning star appears on the 15-minute chart, and there is a MACD bottom divergence.
- Stop loss: 86800 (breaks below recent fluctuation range lower bound)
- Take profit: 88800-89000 (upper range)
- Short Position Strategy:
- Entry: 89500-89800
- Trigger conditions: A shooting star/dark cloud cover appears on the 15-minute level, and RSI is overbought (>70)
- Stop Loss: 90200 (breaks above the upper limit of the range, short position logic invalidated)
- Take Profit: 88000-88200 (lower range)
3. Scenario 3: Weak Breakout (Bearish Dominance)
- Core logic: Breaking below the key support at 87000 triggers a chain of stop-losses, initiating a deep correction.
- Entry:
- Range: 86800-87000 (Confirmation of rebound validity break)
- Trigger conditions: Break below 87000 on the 1-hour level, weak rebound and pressure at 87500, MACD bearish volume increase.
- Stop loss: 87500 (Rebound to fill the gap, stop loss for short position exits)
- Take Profit:
- Target 1 (Short-term): 85500 (Golden Ratio Support Level)
- Target 2 (Swing): 84000 (Strong Support Level), can take profits in batches, move the stop loss of the remaining position to 86000.
4. Key Points of Trade Execution
1. Position Management: The maximum position for a single scenario should not exceed 20% of the total funds to avoid heavy bets in one direction.
2. Time Window: Focus on 0-4, 8-10, and 20-22 (periods of relatively active trading volume)
3. Risk Control: Trigger stop-loss to exit immediately, holding positions is prohibited; after reaching the target 1 for take profit, you may move the stop-loss up/down to the cost price to lock in profits.
4. Special Reminder: Beware of the long and short trap行情 before the Options delivery, strictly execute according to the trigger conditions, and do not blindly chase orders.