2025-12-11 03:06:45

Today I saw an interesting phenomenon— the Federal Reserve cut interest rates as expected. Usually, such easing signals should be positive for risk assets, but BTC surprisingly didn't rise and instead fell?

In the past, during such times, the market would have already priced in the expectations. After the rate cut, even if there isn't a sharp increase, a decline wouldn't typically happen. Is everyone "Buy the rumor, sell the news"? Or is the market now more focused on next year's rate hike expectations?

It feels like BTC's correlation with traditional macro factors is becoming more and more complex. Simply looking at the Federal Reserve's actions is no longer sufficient. What does everyone think about this move? Is it a technical correction or is a trend reversal underway?

BTC0.27%

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CryptoSourGrape

· 12-14 01:35

If I had known it would turn out like this, I wouldn't have believed those nonsense about "interest rate cuts being good for BTC." Now I'm losing big...

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FastLeaver

· 12-12 00:10

Oh wow, this wave really sold the news, we've already been cut once before. --- Federal Reserve rate cut but still fell? Oh my god, my position. --- The market psychology is too complicated now, rate cuts can't save it, we need to look at rate hike expectations? Ridiculous. --- Where's the expected easing positive? Instead, BTC is no longer correlated with traditional finance? --- This wave might just be institutions collecting chips, retail investors are being squeezed out. --- Buy the rumor, sell the news, damn套路. --- Something's off, usually by this time it should have rebounded, but this time it just dropped directly. --- The more complex the macro linkage, the more it proves BTC is walking its own path, stop guessing blindly. --- Rate cut good news but it’s actually selling off? This market is really a bit crazy.

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CryptoGoldmine

· 12-11 03:36

Lowering interest rates leads to a decline instead of a rise, indicating that the market has already priced in the expectations. This is a normal price discovery process. I am more concerned about the current difficulty adjustment cycle and the trend of computing power profitability ratios, which are more effective for bottom fishing than simply following Federal Reserve signals.

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SignatureAnxiety

· 12-11 03:36

Interest rate cuts lead to a drop? That's ridiculous, a typical sign that positive news has been fully priced in. --- Honestly, observing the relationship between Bitcoin and macroeconomics now feels surreal; even inverse indicators are almost turning positive. --- Buy the rumor, sell the news—that's how it is. The retail investors have long been betting correctly. --- Expectations of rate hikes next year? Just giving themselves psychological comfort, who knows. --- This wave doesn't feel like a pure technical correction; funds are looking for new stories. --- Currently, BTC signals are either all effective or none at all; it's absurd. --- The institutions may have already seen through it; retail investors are still studying the Fed's speeches. --- The trend is about to change or not; first, see if the 5-week support can hold.

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ReverseTrendSister

· 12-11 03:36

I've seen through it long ago; after the rate cut expectations are priced in, the market should crash. This trick is so old. Are some people still hoping the FED will save the market? Wake up, everyone. BTC no longer relies on macro strategies; it's playing its own game. The real opportunity is during a sharp decline, not when the news is favorable. Contrarian trading is the way to go. Don't follow the herd and speculate based on expectations so foolishly.

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SolidityNewbie

· 12-11 03:33

Buy the rumor, sell the news, old trick now the time for the big players to harvest --- Wait, still dropping after rate cuts? That's unscientific, feels like someone is dumping --- The macro perspective has long been irrelevant, focus solely on on-chain data and whale movements --- Rate hike expectations next year? Don’t be ridiculous, who still believes in that logic now --- The trend has changed, everyone’s mentality has shifted, not so optimistic about Bitcoin anymore --- Technical correction? I think it's the season of cutting leeks --- Prices drop as news lands, indicating that big funds have already exited, retail investors haven't caught on yet --- The relationship between BTC and the Federal Reserve isn't as tight as you think, don't overinterpret --- This move is just a feint, the real show is yet to come

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Stocks

· 12-11 03:09

Overthinking makes you fragile and unable to withstand the wind.

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