#美联储降息预测

The countdown to interest rate cuts has already excited the crypto world, but my strategy remains more cautious.

This week's highlight is undoubtedly the Federal Reserve's final rate decision. Market sentiment largely expects a rate cut, with BTC and ETH already strengthening in advance, and altcoins igniting one after another. However, the true “turning point” will be at 3 a.m., when emotions may spike suddenly or a brief disappointment may set in. Therefore, trading should not rely solely on passion.
If the rate cut is implemented, market logic will be reignited — liquidity will loosen, risk appetite will increase, and demand for altcoin corrections will grow. Especially ETH will respond faster to rate cuts, and high-beta altcoins will enter a “rapid rise, rapid fall” rhythm.
My strategy is as follows:
① Pre-position a small amount of spot holdings, targeting BTC and ETH;
② Do not chase orders immediately after data release, wait for the volatility to settle before following the trend;
③ Only trade leading altcoins, avoid those with long periods of no volume;
④ If there is no rate cut this time, I will be more optimistic — because the market will price in the rate cut for the next meeting, and the rebound will be delayed, not canceled.
To summarize: if the rate cut happens, it's ignition; if it doesn’t, it’s accumulation. The direction is upward, just at different paces.