SOLANA’S LIQUIDITY JUST FELL BACK TO BEAR MARKET LEVELS
And almost nobody is talking about it.
The Realized Profit/Loss Ratio (30-day SMA) is one of the cleanest ways to understand liquidity on-chain.
When the ratio is above 1, more holders are locking in profits and liquidity expands.
When it drops below 1, realized losses become larger than realized profits, meaning liquidity contracts.
For Solana, this ratio has been below 1 since mid November, and it has stayed there consistently.
That tells us two simple things:
• More people are selling at a loss than taking profit • Liquidity conditions have tightened sharply • The last time Solana stayed this deep below 1 was during major bear-market phases
This doesn’t predict direction, but it does show the environment the market is trading in: - reduced liquidity - colder risk appetite - more reactive price moves on both sides
Understanding Solana’s liquidity cycle matters because the ratio usually flips back above 1 only when new demand steps in or forced sellers clear out.
Right now, the data shows we are still in the loss dominant part of the cycle.
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SOLANA’S LIQUIDITY JUST FELL BACK TO BEAR MARKET LEVELS
And almost nobody is talking about it.
The Realized Profit/Loss Ratio (30-day SMA) is one of the cleanest ways to understand liquidity on-chain.
When the ratio is above 1, more holders are locking in profits and liquidity expands.
When it drops below 1, realized losses become larger than realized profits, meaning liquidity contracts.
For Solana, this ratio has been below 1 since mid November, and it has stayed there consistently.
That tells us two simple things:
• More people are selling at a loss than taking profit
• Liquidity conditions have tightened sharply
• The last time Solana stayed this deep below 1 was during major bear-market phases
This doesn’t predict direction, but it does show the environment the market is trading in:
- reduced liquidity
- colder risk appetite
- more reactive price moves on both sides
Understanding Solana’s liquidity cycle matters because the ratio usually flips back above 1 only when new demand steps in or forced sellers clear out.
Right now, the data shows we are still in the loss dominant part of the cycle.