Urgent reminder! The Federal Reserve is going to do something big at tonight's FOMC meeting, and the brothers in the currency circle are quickly focusing their attention!

Now the market is rumoring that the Fed's interest rate cut of 25 basis points tonight is basically stable, and the probability has rushed to more than 80% - this is simply a "splashing water" for liquidity for the currency circle! After the interest rate cut, the returns of the traditional market have become lower, and those hot money that has nowhere to go will most likely run to high-yield risk assets such as Bitcoin, after all, every time there is quantitative easing in history, Bitcoin has not missed the bull market.

But the more critical signal is hidden: the Fed has quarreled within! There were differences in the last vote, and this time there may even be a tie, with some wanting to aggressively cut interest rates by 50 basis points and others advocating keeping them unchanged. This divergence is not a bad thing, but shows that the release of water in 2026 may be more intense, and it is not even ruled out that the possibility of directly buying bonds and expanding the balance sheet to inject liquidity is not ruled out, which is a signal that a new round of "big pumps" will start.

However, we retail investors should not blindly follow the trend, remember these three points:

1. Short-term sentiment is definitely good, but don't chase high, don't step on the pit of "buying in rumors and selling in the news";
2. Focus on BTC and mainstream currencies, and under the expectation of water release, the hard currency attributes of BTC are still reliable;
3. Be sure to keep the bullets, if the market panics and falls because of the Fed's disagreement, it is a good opportunity to pick up chips in batches.

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