$pippin will be decided tonight, and I’m still leaning bearish.
But regarding this coin, I advise everyone not to rush in with everything you’ve got just yet. I’m dead set on shorting it, but this isn’t the right spot to go all in. I missed out on the early move, so I pulled out when it retraced to my entry price. Now my hands are itching, and the candlestick chart really does look like a textbook bearish setup, but have you noticed? The funding rate is climbing again.
What does this mean? It shows that everyone in the market has picked up on this “short signal,” and people are piling into short positions like crazy.
Think from the perspective of the market makers: You’re planning to dump your holdings, but then you look at the open interest—well, before you even make a move, retail traders have already stacked up the shorts. In this situation, would you just proceed as planned and crash the price? Of course not. What’s the optimal play for the market maker? Pump it first!
Why? Because only by pumping and liquidating all those bandwagon shorts—triggering their stop-losses (which are buy orders)—can they offload their holdings smoothly using that wave of forced buying.
Right now, though, it’s mostly small shorts piling up, not many big ones, and there’s still a thick layer of long positions below. So even if there’s a pump, it probably won’t be too crazy.
Remember these two iron rules: Market makers never look at candlestick charts—they watch backend position data. When the bus is overloaded, the market can’t drop unless the bandwagon traders are shaken out first.
You can short now, but don’t use high leverage and set your stop-loss a bit wider to be safe.
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ForkInTheRoad
· 23h ago
This is this set again, and the funding rate goes up and starts to talk about bookmaker psychology? My ears were calloused
Retail investors are always guessing what the dealer thinks, but they are still thrown out of the car, endlessly
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fomo_fighter
· 12-09 19:04
Oh no, it's the same old trick again. When retail traders pile into shorts, the whales are about to pump it the other way. Gotta wait this one out.
Got itchy hands during the morning session and missed out, so now I really need to stay calm. With funding rates this high, it shows everyone sees through it—meaning that's when it's most dangerous.
All-in? No way. Gotta control the leverage and widen the stop loss, otherwise, it's just a recipe to get trapped.
Hmm, the buy orders below are so thick, so the pump is probably limited. Thinking of it this way actually feels a bit safer.
Whales just watch open interest data and toy with people. Candlesticks are all just tricks—finally figured that out.
But right now really isn't the best entry for shorts. Let's watch where the funding rate goes.
I'll wait until this round bottoms out. No rushing, seriously.
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DogeBachelor
· 12-09 19:00
Your analysis is really thorough; I almost overlooked the detail about the funding rate going up. When retail investors pile into shorts, they're just waiting to get squeezed in the opposite direction. This is indeed an old trick.
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AirdropHermit
· 12-09 18:57
I’m really impressed by the dealer’s tactics this time. When retail investors pile up short positions, they’re just waiting to get squeezed. This round, you really have to look at the position data, not just the K-line.
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GasWastingMaximalist
· 12-09 18:54
Oh man, with this logic, if all the retail traders can see it, the whales are definitely about to turn the tables.
When funding rates get hyped up, you know how deep the trap is. We better stay cautious.
I went through that early session wipeout too. Now let’s see how the whales play their hand.
We’re thinking the same thing. This level is tempting, but don’t rush in. Let’s wait and see.
Piling up shorts is actually the most dangerous move—a liquidation feast could be coming soon?
You really need to be careful with leverage. Cut losses hard, or you’ll get rekt for sure.
If you can’t get a piece of the action, don’t force it. With so many longs stacked below, the chance of getting wrecked is huge.
Don’t follow the crowd, don’t follow the crowd—I can’t say this enough.
Position data is the real truth; candlesticks are just a smokescreen. Those who know, know.
Feels like a sudden pump is coming—get ready, everyone.
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MemeCoinSavant
· 12-09 18:46
lmao so basically you're saying don't yolo into the trap everyone else already fell for... fair thesis ngl
$pippin will be decided tonight, and I’m still leaning bearish.
But regarding this coin, I advise everyone not to rush in with everything you’ve got just yet. I’m dead set on shorting it, but this isn’t the right spot to go all in. I missed out on the early move, so I pulled out when it retraced to my entry price. Now my hands are itching, and the candlestick chart really does look like a textbook bearish setup, but have you noticed? The funding rate is climbing again.
What does this mean? It shows that everyone in the market has picked up on this “short signal,” and people are piling into short positions like crazy.
Think from the perspective of the market makers: You’re planning to dump your holdings, but then you look at the open interest—well, before you even make a move, retail traders have already stacked up the shorts. In this situation, would you just proceed as planned and crash the price? Of course not. What’s the optimal play for the market maker? Pump it first!
Why? Because only by pumping and liquidating all those bandwagon shorts—triggering their stop-losses (which are buy orders)—can they offload their holdings smoothly using that wave of forced buying.
Right now, though, it’s mostly small shorts piling up, not many big ones, and there’s still a thick layer of long positions below. So even if there’s a pump, it probably won’t be too crazy.
Remember these two iron rules:
Market makers never look at candlestick charts—they watch backend position data.
When the bus is overloaded, the market can’t drop unless the bandwagon traders are shaken out first.
You can short now, but don’t use high leverage and set your stop-loss a bit wider to be safe.