#数字资产行情上升 $BTC and $ETH investors, it's time to wake up. You're still clinging to the four-year cycle chart, not realizing that this old formula has always been a game of luck—it just happened to line up with global liquidity easing and tightening cycles.

What about now? Central banks are turning the liquidity taps on and off, and policy signals are getting increasingly ambiguous. The real liquidity dividend hasn't even knocked on the door yet, but you're still foolishly waiting with outdated data from the last cycle, hoping history will repeat itself perfectly? That logic is like sitting in a leaking boat without even checking for holes below.

The crypto market environment has completely changed. The cycle prediction rules that once worked might now be pitfalls you've dug for yourselves. If you keep repeating last year's investment logic, what you'll end up with might not be a rebound, but a wiped-out account.

Instead of obsessing over a particular cycle model, you should focus on actual liquidity supply, macro policy trends, and the real behavior of market participants—these are the true variables that will determine what happens next.