#ETH走势分析 $BTC December 9, 2025 Market Analysis Update

Bitcoin’s daily chart shows two bottoming structures, both closing above the weekly support level—one is a morning star engulfing pattern, and the other is a standard bullish engulfing. This double engulfing combo sends out a pretty strong signal. The neckline after the breakout is at 91316, and if there’s a pullback, it’ll typically face resistance at two spots: the neckline itself and the opening price of that big bullish candle.

The current situation is a bit tricky. BTC’s neckline didn’t hold, and the price hasn’t touched the opening of that big bullish candle either. Logically, it should return to around 862, but the market just refuses to follow the script sometimes. Where does this gut feeling come from? Mainly from seeing how solid $ETH and $BNB’s daily charts look. Both have shown classic neckline breakout and retest patterns. Whether they can hold during the pullback and keep pushing higher really depends on how BTC, the big brother, behaves.

Interestingly, besides the two usual scenarios for this pattern, there are also two other possible variations, which I’ll illustrate for you all later. Right now, we’re at a resistance level, so aggressively going long isn’t really appropriate either. After much thought, I just wanted to be honest about these ideas—it can help everyone avoid blindly going short based on the morning analysis and taking losses. Some people will definitely complain, “You’re always analyzing naked K-lines, and with such an obvious double bottom breakout pattern, you’re still leading fans into short traps,” and I get that criticism.

Honestly, this market is really unpredictable. Rather than betting blindly, it’s better to set your stop loss, or just pick a side and stick with it. I’ll keep observing for now and stay on the sidelines.