#数字货币市场洞察 The Federal Reserve's rate meeting on December 10( (3:00 a.m. Beijing time on the 11th)) shows an 86.2% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, with only a 13.8% chance of holding steady. JIN10 Data gives a projected target of 3.75%, so this is basically a done deal.

Recently, global central banks have been very active. Canada, Australia, and Switzerland are about to announce their respective rate decisions, but the market's real focus is on December 19—will the Bank of Japan raise rates? There is no clear answer to this question yet, and JIN10 Data has not given a forecast value. The two time points are 9 days apart and worth keeping an eye on.

Looking at $BTC's performance: on November 21, it hit a recent low of 80,600, then rebounded to around 93,000, a gain of about 15%. It then naturally corrected to the 84,000 level, surged again to 94,100, and then fell back to 87,700. Technically, both the lows and highs are climbing, a typical uptrend.

Trading strategy? Before the rate cut is confirmed, the main idea is to go long in one direction. Build long positions near prior low areas, targeting the 95,000 to 98,000 range. Of course, the market can change rapidly, so position management and stop-loss settings are essential.