#ETH走势分析 Year-End Altcoin Window Observation: Three Notable Market Changes

Recently, discussions about altcoins have heated up again in the market. If you’re still on the sidelines, you might want to take a look at these emerging changes.

Three phenomena in the market:

The first phenomenon is the change in token distribution. The correction in October led many weak holders to exit, making the order books of many tokens noticeably lighter. In this situation, if new capital enters, the resistance to price increases will be much lower.

The second point is the timing. The end of the year has always been a period when project teams are particularly active, whether it’s ecosystem updates or market operations. This window often sees a lot of action. The market trends around Christmas in past years are always worth paying attention to.

The third signal is even more interesting—currently, most retail investors are saying “Altcoins are too risky, I don’t dare to touch them.” When market sentiment is extremely cautious, it’s often the best time to position yourself. Think about it: isn’t it always this kind of “everyone is scared” atmosphere before the real bull runs start?

A few practical tips for beginners:

On position sizing: Don’t be impulsive; just test the waters with 20% of your spare funds. For example, if you have 50,000, start with 10,000 to get a feel for the market rhythm. This way, even if your judgment is off, it won’t hurt you much; if you make a profit, you can always scale up later.

On coin selection: Stay away from projects that are all talk and no substance. Prioritize tokens with real use cases, active communities, and teams that are continuously building. Even if these coins don’t rise in the short term, they have a chance to bounce back in the long run.

On taking profits: This is crucial. It’s recommended to take half off the table after a 50% gain, and reduce your position by another 30% if it doubles. You can hold the rest to go for even bigger gains. Many people end up riding the rollercoaster simply because they don’t lock in profits.

One last note: Opportunities are never found by waiting. If you think the market has potential, be prepared in advance; if you think the risks are too high, keep watching. But don’t wait until the market really takes off to chase in—that’s when your costs will be much higher. Feel free to reach out with any questions!