#ETH走势分析 $ETH This Week's Market Watch Notes: Two-Way Opportunities Between 3100 and 3250

After reviewing ETH’s 4-hour candlesticks for three consecutive days, I noticed an interesting phenomenon—a short-term likelihood of a pullback first, followed by a rebound near 3250. There are two actionable windows in this round of volatility, especially suitable for traders who fear missing out on the market but are also worried about getting stopped out.

Engrave these three numbers in your mind: 3100 is the lifeline for long positions, above 3200 you can consider switching to shorts, and if 2980 is lost, admit defeat immediately.

**First, let's talk about the support line below: Why is it worth taking a chance at 3100?**

This level isn’t arbitrarily drawn. Looking back at the historical high-volume trading zones, a large amount of chips once accumulated here, making it a previous local top. As long as it holds, a rebound is highly probable. Last week, I tried a small long position near 3120, took 60 points of profit off this support, then exited.

If you want to go long around 3100, remember not to go all in. Enter with just 20% of your capital, and set your stop loss strictly at 2980—this is the key liquidation zone for the day. Breaking below could trigger a chain reaction, so avoiding this pit is more important than making money.

**Now, let’s look at the resistance above: 3250 is the real battleground.**

When ETH tests this price from above, on a larger timeframe it’s likely to form a new bearish structure. This is a safer opportunity to short. My plan is to scale in: start building short positions above 3200 in batches, add to the position every 10 points higher, but decrease the position size as price rises.

If it goes straight to 3250? That’s a clear extreme short signal. At this point, you can enter with 15% of your capital, set your stop loss at 3280, and target 3150 first. If that breaks, look for the 3000 zone next—this strategy is much safer than chasing highs and aligns with the principle of “don’t try to pick the top, but dare to act at key levels.”

Worried about missing out? Actually, for short-term trading, the most important thing is to wait for signals, don’t rush in blindly. If 3100 doesn’t hold, give up the long. If 3250 isn’t reached, keep waiting—trading less often might mean losing less. Last year, by strictly holding the 3000 key level, I avoided three liquidation risks.

The worst thing in the current market is greed.

Whether it’s a long at 3100 or a short at 3250, lock in some profits once you’ve made 20-30 points; don’t try to take the entire swing. Always keep 2980, the liquidation level, in mind—it’s your last line of defense to protect your capital.

In crypto, making fast money always comes from targeting key levels, not from guessing up or down.