The US November ADP employment data totally missed expectations: not only was there no growth, but 32,000 jobs were actually lost. Keep in mind, the market had previously expected an increase of 5,000 jobs—quite a shocking gap.
October’s data was revised upward a bit, from the previously announced 42,000 to 47,000, but that doesn’t make up for the big hole in November.
**What does this mean?** The labor market is clearly cooling down. At this rate, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 50 basis points this month has increased again.
For our crypto market, rising expectations for looser liquidity are usually not a bad thing. Those still stubbornly holding onto short positions are probably starting to get nervous now, right?
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Blockwatcher9000
· 8h ago
The bears are in trouble now. With rate cut expectations rising, the crypto market is about to get restless again.
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MetaMaximalist
· 12-03 15:50
ngl the employment miss is wild, but let's be real—these macro swings are kinda baked into the adoption curve at this point. the liquidity narrative is fascinating from a network effects perspective, though most people sleeping on the actual infrastructure play here tbh
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BoredRiceBall
· 12-03 15:44
Short sellers are going to cry. With this data released, it's definitely bullish—liquidity is about to be eased.
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RugResistant
· 12-03 15:38
Short sellers should be worried. What does this data indicate? The Federal Reserve has to get serious now.
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VitalikFanAccount
· 12-03 15:29
It's time for the shorts to bottom fish; this wave of liquidity is really picking up.
The freshly released data is quite interesting—
The US November ADP employment data totally missed expectations: not only was there no growth, but 32,000 jobs were actually lost. Keep in mind, the market had previously expected an increase of 5,000 jobs—quite a shocking gap.
October’s data was revised upward a bit, from the previously announced 42,000 to 47,000, but that doesn’t make up for the big hole in November.
**What does this mean?**
The labor market is clearly cooling down. At this rate, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 50 basis points this month has increased again.
For our crypto market, rising expectations for looser liquidity are usually not a bad thing. Those still stubbornly holding onto short positions are probably starting to get nervous now, right?