Scan to Download Gate App
qrCode
More Download Options
Don't remind me again today

#美联储重启降息步伐 Trump is really anxious this time! He openly challenged Fed Chair Powell, demanding an interest rate cut next week. What’s more, he brought up JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon as backup, saying even this Wall Street heavyweight thinks it’s time to lower rates.



This is no simple matter. Who is Dimon? One of Wall Street’s most conservative bankers and previously very cautious about crypto assets. Now even he is stepping up to pressure the Fed, which shows that the traditional finance crowd is really getting anxious. By quoting Dimon at this moment, Trump is actually sending a signal to the market: rate cuts are no longer just one person’s idea, but have become a consensus among the entire financial sector.

There are several key points worth noting. The probability of a rate cut in July has now soared to 98% in the market’s expectations—it’s almost a done deal. Wall Street funds are frantically reallocating, with large amounts of money flowing into risk assets ahead of time. If the rate cut really happens, the floodgates of global liquidity will reopen, and there will be a massive influx of money into the market.

But there’s more beneath the surface. Is a rate cut really the cure for the economy, or is it just a political move by Trump for the election? What’s behind Dimon’s sudden change of stance?

For the crypto market, will $BTC skyrocket right after the rate cut, or will it “buy the rumor, sell the news” and pull back? With Trump and Dimon joining forces to pressure the Fed, can the Fed hold out and refuse to cut?

Suppose you have $100,000 in hand—should you go all in now, or wait and see?

The market changes every day, so don’t let your emotions dictate your decisions. If you often feel like your reactions are a step behind or you’re easily swayed by news, it might be a good idea to calm down and think through your own strategy.
BTC-0.84%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 5
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
PhantomHuntervip
· 12-03 08:29
It's quite interesting that Dimon is stepping up at this time—Wall Street folks are really getting anxious. The 98% probability of a rate cut seems a bit shaky; I'll wait until there's solid confirmation. Whether BTC can take off this time still depends on how quickly actual liquidity enters the market—you can't just go by expectations. All in? I advise you to stay calm. These days, patience in a cold wallet is the most valuable asset. What Trump is doing is just upping the ante for himself; the day the negative news materializes will be your nightmare.
View OriginalReply0
PaperHandSistervip
· 12-03 08:29
Dimon picking a side this time is pretty interesting. The Wall Street crowd is really getting nervous. --- All in? Wake up, all the good news has already been priced in. This is just the prelude to harvesting retail investors. --- When there's a 98% probability, that's actually the most dangerous. Things that seem certain never play out by the book. --- Trump plays politics, let's not follow the hype. Wait until the Fed actually makes a move. --- Yet another round of "rate cuts will definitely pump the market" brainwashing. I'll stay on the sidelines—don't have any cash left anyway, haha. --- Paper hands will always be paper hands. Getting anxious now, but if it actually drops, they'll sell at a loss again. --- So much money out there? Then why does my account still look so pathetic? --- Been hearing about rate cuts for over a year now, and I'm still not tired of it? --- Bitcoin to the moon? If I believe it, I'll get trapped; if I don't, I'll regret it. So I'll just keep lying flat. --- Dimon suddenly switching sides is the most suspicious. Big shots never change their tune for no reason.
View OriginalReply0
ExpectationFarmervip
· 12-03 08:28
This time Dimon has really picked a side, and traditional finance is starting to panic... Wait, could this be a sign that all the good news has been priced in? A rate cut is pretty much a sure thing, but will it really make BTC take off? Feels like the market has already priced in this expectation. Those who went all in are probably going to get stuck this round—it's safer to stay on the sidelines. Can Powell hold the line? With so much political pressure, I bet he'll end up cutting in the end. Let's see if these people are truly anxious or just putting on a show—we'll find out next week.
View OriginalReply0
governance_ghostvip
· 12-03 08:28
Dimon's sudden statement this time feels off— is he really anxious or just putting on a show with Trump? Wait, is that 98% probability real? Feels like the market is more certain than the Fed. All in? Are you crazy? This is exactly the time to be more cautious. Those Wall Street guys turned around too quickly. I think it's more likely that all the good news has already been priced in. If rate cuts are this certain, mainstream institutions must have already finished building their positions. I still haven't sold my BTC yet, feeling conflicted... Will Bitcoin really go up, or is this another round of being dumped on? Instead of guessing politics, it's better to look at on-chain data. This feels like the warmup before retail investors get fleeced. I'm choosing to stay on the sidelines.
View OriginalReply0
Layer2Arbitrageurvip
· 12-03 08:17
ngl the 98% rate cut probability is mathematically cooked... run the numbers on historical fed pushback cycles and you're realistically looking at 60-70bps of actual wiggle room. people sleeping on the basis point dynamics here fr fr.
Reply0
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)