#十二月行情展望 December is a typical month of "first suppression and then rise". Currently, we are near the panic bottom, and not breaking 80,000 is an excellent strategic Build a Position zone; if it breaks, we need to wait until the lower edge of the big trading range at 70,000 to 75,000 to take action. Be patient and wait for the wind to come, leaving the bullets for the main rise before and after Christmas.

Global risk assets are under pressure: US stocks have retreated, the yen has rapidly appreciated, and gold has reached a historic high, with funds clearly flowing into safe-haven assets.
The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25bp in December is 89%, but the hawkish bias in the dot plot and Trump's "weak dollar" policy expectations offset each other, leaving the market lacking a clear direction.
Yen carry trade is facing strong liquidation pressure, and high-leverage positions in the crypto market are being continuously washed out (over $2 billion liquidated in the past 7 days).