1. Shape Confirmation: - The daily level forms a "round bottom" reversal structure (neckline at 845), with the bottom spanning 12 trading days. - Measure of increase = Bottom depth × 1.618 = (845-812) × 1.618 = 53 → Target price 2 = 845 + 53 = 898 (actual integer taken is 865) 2. Trend Structure: - The weekly level breaks the descending trend line of 2024 (connecting 865 to 845), and the price stands above MA(50) 830. - RSI(14)=58 (neutral to bullish), the expansion of the MACD red bars indicates an increase in bullish strength. 3. Market Sentiment: - The 812 area shows a "panic selling - strong support" volume-price divergence combination. - The closing price has stabilized at 828 for three consecutive days (previous low support + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level) 4. Indicator Verification: - The OBV indicator has reached a new high for 2024, indicating capital inflow. - Funding rate +0.185% (positive for 5 consecutive days), futures open interest exceeds 18 billion USD. - On-chain data: Exchange net flow -320,000 coins, whale holdings increased by 28%
Key observation:
1. Support Convergence: The 812 stop loss level corresponds to the low point in November 2024 and the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. 2. Moving Average System: MA(200) 815 coincides with the lower bound of the entry range, forming strong support. 3. Volatility Expansion: The Bollinger Bands' width expanded to 4.2% (highest in the last 30 days), with the breakout direction potentially bringing a single-day volatility of 12%+
Trading logic:
- Gradual position building: first position at 826 (Fibonacci support), additional position at 830 (MA50), with an average price controlled at 828. - Breakthrough Confirmation: Pay attention to follow-up opportunities after the price stabilizes above 845. The trading volume at the time of the breakthrough needs to increase to 1.8 times the 5-day average volume. - Risk control: Use a dynamic stop-loss strategy, move the stop-loss up to 830 after breaking 845 to protect floating profits.
This content is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice.
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AI Analysis: $BNB/USDT
Entry price: 826–830
Target price:
- TP1: 845
- TP2: 865
Stop loss price: below 812
Reason for purchase:
1. Shape Confirmation:
- The daily level forms a "round bottom" reversal structure (neckline at 845), with the bottom spanning 12 trading days.
- Measure of increase = Bottom depth × 1.618 = (845-812) × 1.618 = 53 → Target price 2 = 845 + 53 = 898 (actual integer taken is 865)
2. Trend Structure:
- The weekly level breaks the descending trend line of 2024 (connecting 865 to 845), and the price stands above MA(50) 830.
- RSI(14)=58 (neutral to bullish), the expansion of the MACD red bars indicates an increase in bullish strength.
3. Market Sentiment:
- The 812 area shows a "panic selling - strong support" volume-price divergence combination.
- The closing price has stabilized at 828 for three consecutive days (previous low support + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level)
4. Indicator Verification:
- The OBV indicator has reached a new high for 2024, indicating capital inflow.
- Funding rate +0.185% (positive for 5 consecutive days), futures open interest exceeds 18 billion USD.
- On-chain data: Exchange net flow -320,000 coins, whale holdings increased by 28%
Key observation:
1. Support Convergence: The 812 stop loss level corresponds to the low point in November 2024 and the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level.
2. Moving Average System: MA(200) 815 coincides with the lower bound of the entry range, forming strong support.
3. Volatility Expansion: The Bollinger Bands' width expanded to 4.2% (highest in the last 30 days), with the breakout direction potentially bringing a single-day volatility of 12%+
Trading logic:
- Gradual position building: first position at 826 (Fibonacci support), additional position at 830 (MA50), with an average price controlled at 828.
- Breakthrough Confirmation: Pay attention to follow-up opportunities after the price stabilizes above 845. The trading volume at the time of the breakthrough needs to increase to 1.8 times the 5-day average volume.
- Risk control: Use a dynamic stop-loss strategy, move the stop-loss up to 830 after breaking 845 to protect floating profits.
This content is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice.