Quantum computing pure-plays have gone absolutely bonkers this year. IonQ up 90%, Rigetti up 1,860%, D-Wave up 1,530%—these numbers make the Nasdaq’s 20% gain look like pocket change.
But here’s the thing: while everyone’s obsessing over valuations (which are already insane, with forward P/S ratios that make no sense), they’re missing the actual doomsday scenario.
The Real Threat Nobody’s Talking About
It’s not bubble risk. It’s not high valuations. It’s this: Amazon, Microsoft, Google—the companies buying these quantum services—are about to become their competitors.
Think about it:
Google just dropped Willow, a quantum chip doing calculations 13,000x faster than supercomputers
Microsoft launched Majorana 1, designed to scale to 1 million qubits
These mega-cap tech giants are literally drowning in cash and R&D budgets
Meanwhile, IonQ just raised $2 billion but most quantum startups are bleeding cash with no profitable business model. Competing against trillion-dollar companies with unlimited resources? That’s not a business plan—it’s a death sentence.
The Bottom Line
Quantum computing might be the future, but the future probably belongs to the Magnificent Seven, not the pure-play upstarts. First-mover advantage means nothing when you’re getting out-gunned by companies that can burn through research budgets most startups will never see.
The real investors aren’t betting on IonQ. They’re buying Amazon and Microsoft.
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Quantum Computing Stocks Face a Silent Killer: Big Tech Competition
The Hype vs. The Reality
Quantum computing pure-plays have gone absolutely bonkers this year. IonQ up 90%, Rigetti up 1,860%, D-Wave up 1,530%—these numbers make the Nasdaq’s 20% gain look like pocket change.
But here’s the thing: while everyone’s obsessing over valuations (which are already insane, with forward P/S ratios that make no sense), they’re missing the actual doomsday scenario.
The Real Threat Nobody’s Talking About
It’s not bubble risk. It’s not high valuations. It’s this: Amazon, Microsoft, Google—the companies buying these quantum services—are about to become their competitors.
Think about it:
Meanwhile, IonQ just raised $2 billion but most quantum startups are bleeding cash with no profitable business model. Competing against trillion-dollar companies with unlimited resources? That’s not a business plan—it’s a death sentence.
The Bottom Line
Quantum computing might be the future, but the future probably belongs to the Magnificent Seven, not the pure-play upstarts. First-mover advantage means nothing when you’re getting out-gunned by companies that can burn through research budgets most startups will never see.
The real investors aren’t betting on IonQ. They’re buying Amazon and Microsoft.