#ETH走势分析 From tens of thousands of capital to millions, the pitfalls I've experienced on this journey over 7 years are all here.

In the cryptocurrency market, flipping small funds is not about luck but about discipline and control over the rhythm. I'll break down the methodologies I've developed through years of real money experience for you. If you can achieve half of this, you will have already surpassed most people.

**Regarding short-term trading, I only follow these few iron rules**

First, let's talk about the selection of targets. I only look at the top ten cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, and I filter them daily based on news and trends. Technically, there must be a golden cross on the daily MACD or a clear opening of the Bollinger Bands; I won't touch anything with insufficient volatility. Junk altcoins? They are used for harvesting retail investors.

In terms of capital management, I will divide 50,000 into five parts. For short-term operations, I will only use one part each time, which is equivalent to starting with a 20% position. The most important thing is—no matter the situation, I will use at most 50% of my position, and the other half will always be my base capital. This is not being conservative; it's about survival. The market can slap you back at any moment, and keeping some bullets gives you the chance to turn the tables.

In terms of trading frequency, I've set a strict rule for myself: a maximum of three trades per day. Short-term trading isn't about the number of trades, but rather about precision. Once I've made enough profit, I stop; it's the small profits that accumulate that truly represent compound interest. Those who make a dozen trades in a day end up just paying fees to the platform.

There is one thing I learned after spending hundreds of thousands on tuition: **never average down, never lower your cost basis.** Did you lose 30% as soon as you entered the market? That means you made the wrong judgment from the very beginning. Admit your mistake, cut your position and exit, don't compete with yourself. Holding onto a position in the short term, nine times out of ten you won't be able to recover.

Stop-loss must be set and executed mechanically. My standard is to exit with a 30% loss, with no room for negotiation. Don't fall in love with the candlestick chart; the core of short-term trading can be summed up in eight words: enter quickly, exit quickly, and secure the profits.

Lastly, only trade when there is a trend. Eat well when the market has a clear direction, and rest when it doesn't. Only mainstream coins have trends; small coins only carry risks.

**The Unwritten Rules in the Market Earned with Blood**

This part is summarized by countless people after being liquidated, understanding it can save you a lot of detours:

Don't panic after a big drop in the morning; there is often a rebound opportunity in the afternoon. Conversely, if there's a surge in the afternoon, it's likely to pull back in the evening, so reduce your positions if necessary.

Volume is always key in technical analysis: a rising price on decreasing volume can often continue to rise, while a falling price on decreasing volume is likely to continue to fall.

The market will rise in advance before significant positive news comes out. When the good news is actually implemented? That's a signal for a market crash.

The time pattern is also worth noting. If there is a decline during the day in China, it may be worth considering to lay low, as around 9:30 PM, European and American funds often make a move.

See the long pin? That's not a bug, that's a signal. Deep pins are often a sign of strong buying or selling points.

Heavy positions equal liquidation, this truth will never go out of style. Those who heavily bet all in eventually become VIP clients of the exchange - the kind that gets liquidated.

There are also some phenomena that seem very strange but do exist:

Your short position just hit the stop loss, and the price immediately starts to drop - this is called being washed.
Just when it seemed like you were about to break free, it suddenly turned downwards - the dealer doesn't want you to escape.
You just took profits and exited, and the market immediately takes off — this is to wash out retail investors and reduce selling pressure.

The more excited you are, the more dangerous it becomes; large funds are just waiting for that moment when you lose control of your emotions. And when you have no money, the entire market is rising—that's a trap to lure you into FOMO and take the bait.

$XRP The trends of these mainstream coins are the best textbook. Remember, the market is always educating people; the only difference is how much tuition you pay.