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Corn Futures Bleed Into Weekend as Options Expire

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Corn wrapped up the week underwater. December contracts shed 4.75 cents across the trading week, with Friday marking option expiration day—a technical catalyst for the weakness.

The Numbers:

  • Cash corn now trading at $3.87¼, down a penny on the session
  • Dec 25 futures closed at $4.25½ (-1¢)
  • Mar 26 contract at $4.37½ (-¼¢)
  • May 26 holding at $4.44¾ (-½¢)

What’s Pressuring? USDA’s Grain Crushing report dropped later than scheduled, revealing 463.44M bushels of corn ground into ethanol during August. Sure, that’s 1.2% up from July, but it’s 3.36% below year-ago levels—signaling softer demand.

Positioning Shift: Managed money keeps building the short thesis. As of Oct 7 CFTC reporting, specs held 141,966 net short contracts—up 6,656 from the prior week. Bears are digging in.

Argentina Watch: Buenos Aires Grain Exchange pegged Argentina’s corn planting at 37.3%, up just 0.7 points week-over-week but trailing last year’s pace. The crop quality looks solid though—79% rated excellent to normal.

Bottom line: Corn’s stuck in a grind. No panic, but momentum’s absent heading into the weekend.

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