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Don't remind me again today

BlockchainTalker

2025-12-01 15:20:40

#数字资产市场观察 This Monday, Fed chairman Powell will attend an event at Stanford University to commemorate Schultz and give a speech. However, don't expect him to reveal any hints about monetary policy — the Fed is currently in a quiet period before a decision, and he won't touch on economic topics.

It is worth noting that the interest rate decision will be announced next Wednesday, and there will be no official statements before that. Currently, the market expectations are very clear: the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut given by traders is approaching 90%.

If this rate cut really happens, everyone's attention will be focused on the updated dot plot from the Fed. Everyone wants to find clues about the interest rate trend in 2026 from this chart. After all, for the crypto market, the Fed's interest rate path directly affects the liquidity environment.

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zkProofGremlin

· 10h ago

90% probability? Uh... the traders have started to collectively daydream again. --- The dot plot is the real drama, it will have to be reinterpreted again. --- Powell really needs to watch his mouth this time, or it will cause a bloodbath. --- The liquidity environment directly determines the coin price, this time the interest rate decision is crucial. --- The quiet period is like this, you can't hear anything, it's the hardest to endure. --- What can we see from the interest rate chart in 2026? Let's wait to be slapped in the face. --- 25 basis points, hmm... market pricing seems pretty standard, hehe. --- Not to mention, once the dot plot comes out, the crypto world will definitely be in for another round of turmoil.

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TerraNeverForget

· 12-01 15:49

At this time, there's a 90% probability that it won't show much; the key still depends on how the dot matrix chart is drawn.

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PanicSeller

· 12-01 15:38

Powell is as tight-lipped as ever, this silent period is really tormenting. --- I don’t really believe the 90% probability of him telling the truth, if this number can be trusted, then I might as well believe in ghosts. --- The dot plot is the real highlight, by then they will probably come up with new tricks for us. --- As for liquidity, to put it simply, it’s about whether the Fed is willing to engage in point shaving; the encryption sector relies entirely on it. --- Wait until next Wednesday, it’s likely to be another false alarm. --- No one can really say what the road to 2026 will look like, any current speculation is just nonsense. --- The silent period gives traders room for imagination; they can guess anything.

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BearMarketHustler

· 12-01 15:37

A 90% probability of interest rate cuts has been locked in, just waiting for the official announcement next Wednesday. --- Powell has to keep his mouth shut this time, not even leaking a hint. --- The dot plot is the real highlight; the 2026 path will determine whether we make money or just get by next year. --- Liquidity has eased, and that's when the coin prices look good; we're just waiting for that now. --- It feels like the traders have already set the outcome in stone, which is a bit boring. --- 25 basis points isn't much, but every point counts as money for the wallet. --- As long as there are no rate hikes, the downward direction is always the right one. --- The Fed's decision shift directly impacts the entire encryption ecosystem; this phase is crucial. --- The default interest rate cut has become a consensus, and now it's all about the subsequent rhythm. --- It's that time again to look at the dot plot and guess the thoughts; it's more thrilling than watching a drama.

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MelonField

· 12-01 15:30

What does a 90% probability indicate? Powell is really going to loosen up this time, right? --- The dot plot is the key, let's see how it goes in 2026. --- The quiet period is back, how do we get through these days? --- Is a 25 basis point rate cut really that important for the crypto world? Will liquidity really be that loose? --- Wait for next Wednesday, this decision can determine the market for half a year. --- Powell going to give a speech is just for show, the real words will have to wait for decision day. --- I don’t understand why everyone is so concerned about the interest rate in 2026, what about next year? --- 25 bps is stable, it's all about how the dot plot will be drawn now. --- The quiet period is the worst, there’s no information at all. --- Once the Fed loosens, both miners and coin hoarders will be smiling. --- If there really is a rate cut this time, will the crypto market soar?

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ReverseTrendSister

· 12-01 15:27

Powell has shut up, the real show will be next Wednesday --- 90% chance of rate cuts? When the dot plot comes out, fancy slap-in-the-face moves will be a regular operation --- It feels like every time it's just traders getting high on themselves, the interest rate path is just Schrödinger's Liquidity --- The dot plot thing… those who understand it make money, those who don't can also make money, only I end up losing the most --- Wait, if we can predict the trend in 2026 with charts, shouldn't we all be retiring by now haha --- The silent period is just holding back the big moves, there will definitely be an unexpected reversal next Wednesday --- Liquidity environment… saying it so poetically, isn't it just betting on whether the Fed will continue point shaving?

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SandwichHunter

· 12-01 15:23

The probability of interest rate cuts is already 90%, feels like this time it's stable... just afraid Powell will pull some tricks again. Wait for the dot plot, only then will we know the real situation... 90% rate cut? Just listen to it, don't take it too seriously. The key still depends on how 2026 goes, this has a huge impact. True or false, we'll know next Wednesday. Powell is keeping it under wraps, doesn't want to say anything. If liquidity loosens, we have a chance in encryption. First, wait for the rate cut to land, then see how to operate afterwards. The dot plot is the main event, that thing can show the meaning. If this wave really sees a rate cut, we need to see how it plays out afterwards.

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