The Global Economic Pecking Order is About to Shift—Here's What's Coming in 2027

Forget everything you think you know about the world's top 10 economies. According to fresh IMF projections, the next five years will rewrite the rulebook.

The big shake-up? Italy and Russia are getting kicked out. India is about to explode into the third-largest economy, bumping Japan to fourth. China stays put at #2 (for now), while the U.S. holds the crown at #1.

By 2027, the top 10 will control 67% of global GDP—up from 66% today. We're talking about $130.84 trillion in combined economic firepower.

What's wild: India's doing the heavy lifting. Growing at 6.8% in 2022 despite global headwinds, this domestic consumption machine is projected to hit $5.37 trillion by 2027. Meanwhile, China's stumbling—property sector in freefall, Covid lockdowns strangling growth, regulatory crackdowns on tech. S&P Global expects China's property sales to crater 26-28% this year.

Europe's also taking heat. Germany's contraction is accelerating (projected -0.3% in 2023), UK's inflation is raging, and France is dodging recession by its fingernails thanks to tourism recovery.

The wildcard? Brazil and Iran climbing into the top 10. Brazil's riding ag export boom and strong commodity demand. Iran's already in the trillion-dollar club, backed by OPEC reserves and China's record oil purchases.

Bottom line: The multipolar world isn't coming—it's already here. The economic center of gravity is shifting east and south faster than most realize.