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Baidu is "targeted" by Wall Street: the transformation from a search engine to an AI engine

Core Data

  • Contrarian Capital, a U.S. hedge fund, has newly purchased 102,100 shares of Baidu, costing $13.45 million.
  • Accounting for 3.4% of the total assets of the fund, it directly becomes a newly added heavy position.
  • Baidu's stock price has risen 52% in the past year, far exceeding the S&P 500 index by 20 percentage points.
  • Current market value of 40.8 billion USD, TTM revenue of 18.7 billion USD

What does this explain

This is not a typical portfolio adjustment. Contrarian is known for its rigor, allocating 3.4% of new funds to a single position in one go, indicating what the fund manager has seen.

Baidu is completing its identity transformation - it is no longer “China's Google”. While search advertising remains a stable cash cow, the real engine driving growth has shifted to:

1. AI Cloud Services: The commercial implementation of the ERNIE large model on the enterprise side is creating a wider moat than the advertising business.

2. Autonomous Driving: The Apollo platform's early layout in the driverless car field is a next-generation growth point.

3. Content Ecosystem: Platforms like iQIYI combine AI recommendations to form a new business closed loop.

What is the market betting on

Wall Street is not betting on search advertising (that's a declining business), but rather on whether Baidu can occupy a core position in the wave of AI infrastructure in China.

The ERNIE model is comparable to ChatGPT but has local advantages. If the contribution share of enterprise cloud services continues to rise, Baidu's profit structure will be completely rewritten—from a single reliance on advertising to multi-engine growth.

Key Highlights: ERNIE commercialization data for the next two quarters, cloud computing gross margin, and progress in autonomous driving commercialization.

One sentence

Search ads are Baidu's past, AI cloud is the future—Wall Street is betting on this turning point right now.

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