Bitcoin's 4-Year Cycle Suggests 2025 Could Be Historic

Look, Bitcoin’s been following a eerily consistent playbook every four years, and if the pattern holds, 2025 might be way bigger than people think.

The Cycle Never Lies

Historically, here’s what Bitcoin does:

• Year 1: Bear market (like 2022)
• Year 2: Recovery bounce
• Year 3: Steady climb → halving happens (+125% avg)
• Year 4: Explosive bull run (+400% avg)

We’re in year 3 right now (halving year). Bitcoin started 2024 around $44k—a 125% surge would land it near $100k by year-end. Then comes 2025…

Do The Math

If Bitcoin finishes 2024 at ~$100k and follows the historical 400% post-halving surge, you’re looking at $500k territory in 2025.

Yeah, it sounds wild. But Bitcoin’s done crazier—it ripped 850% back in 2011. The point isn’t hitting some magic number; it’s that supply shock finally kicks in when institutions and retail realize the scarcity game is real.

Why This Actually Makes Sense

Beyond the pattern:

• Supply capped at 21M coins (only 19.7M circulating now) = true scarcity
• Institutional FOMO ramping up (spot ETFs opening doors)
• Retail keeps buying the dip as a hedge
• Trust in fiat is crumbling → Bitcoin as digital gold becomes more obvious

The supply-demand math is shifting in Bitcoin’s favor every cycle. Whether it hits $500k or $250k shouldn’t matter—what matters is understanding why the dynamics favor it long-term.