Bitcoin Down 24% in 3 Months—Is It Really a "Great Crash"?

digital_archaeologist

2025-12-01 13:58:05

Okay, so BTC is down 6% YTD and 24% over the last three months, and suddenly everyone’s talking about the “Great Bitcoin Crash of 2025.”

Here’s the reality check: historically, actual Bitcoin bear markets hit 70-80% drawdowns (2011, 2015, 2018, 2022). A 24% dip? That’s basically a normal correction in Bitcoin’s playbook—swings of 20-30% happen all the time inside bull runs.

So what’s got everyone spooked? Macro uncertainty. Trump’s trade chaos, inflation eating into disposable income, potential recession signals, government shutdown drama—the whole package is making investors nervy. The Oct 10 crypto flash crash (driven by overleveraged altcoin derivatives, not BTC itself) didn’t help.

But here’s what hasn’t changed: Bitcoin’s supply is still fixed, halving still makes future production harder, ETFs still exist for easy access, and DAT companies keep stacking it long-term.

Could BTC drop another 60-70% if global liquidity dries up? Sure, it’s possible. But if you’re in this for the long game, buying on weakness still makes sense historically. The thesis hasn’t broken—just the sentiment.

BTC0.11%

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