Who's Next? The Race to Join the $3 Trillion Elite

Only four companies have hit the $3 trillion market cap milestone: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet. But the club is about to get crowded.

The $3 Trillion Gap

Which companies are knocking on the door? Here’s how far each needs to climb:

• Amazon: $2.54T → needs 18% growth (basically a lock)
• Broadcom: $1.62T → needs 85% growth
• Meta: $1.54T → needs 95% growth
• Taiwan Semiconductor: $1.48T → needs 103% growth
• Tesla: $1.35T → needs 122% growth (the wildcard)

Who Actually Makes It by 2028?

Amazon is practically a given. Hitting 18% over three years is table stakes for a company its size—expect entry around 2026.

Broadcom has real momentum. Its AI accelerator segment grew 63% YoY last quarter, and the company is already delivering 22% revenue growth. If that AI segment keeps expanding as a percentage of the mix, a 21% CAGR becomes totally achievable.

Taiwan Semiconductor is the growth machine. Q3 revenue jumped 41% YoY, and as the backbone of the AI hardware arms race, TSM isn’t slowing down. This one feels like a strong bet.

Meta is the risk play. Yes, it grew revenue 26% last quarter (above the required 23% CAGR), but massive data center capex has spooked investors. Recovery depends on proving those AI investments actually pay off.

Tesla is pure speculation. It’s either a 3x from here or a 50% crash depending on whether robotaxis and humanoid robots ship at scale. Call it a coin flip.

The Takeaway

Four of these five probably make it to $3 trillion by 2028. If you’re looking at the next mega-cap winners, this list is where the action is.