#美联储恢复降息进程 I just saw the news that the U.S. has decided to extend some of the exemptions on the Section 301 tariffs on China for another year. The batch that was supposed to be reimposed has now been put on hold.
$ETH This news serves as a buffer for those involved in cross-border trade chains. Common exempt categories such as electronic devices, mechanical parts, and daily necessities will not see a sudden spike in costs in the short term, and the stability of orders can be maintained for a while. For those doing business between China and the U.S., at least this year, there is no need to worry about sudden increases in tariffs disrupting the rhythm.
However, looking at it calmly, this is just a "postponement" not a "cancellation." The uncertainty of the trade policy itself still exists. With the elections approaching in the United States, the policy could change direction at any time. Is this year really a window of genuine easing, or is it just a calm before the storm? Should companies take the opportunity to increase shipments, or continue to file for supply chain diversification?
The global supply chain is still undergoing adjustments and restructuring. The extension of the exemption feels more like a temporary card with an expiration date; it can be used, but it's uncertain how long it will be usable. In this environment, those who can prepare multiple strategies in advance will have a stronger risk resistance capability.
How do you judge? Is this operation a tactical pause or is there really a sign of relaxation? Is your industry greatly affected by this policy? Will it change again next year?
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DaoGovernanceOfficer
· 12-04 03:21
ngl this tariff extension is just kicking the can down the road... empirically speaking, the data suggests we're looking at a governance structure that lacks any real commitment mechanisms. where's the enforcement layer? where's the quadratic voting on actual policy outcomes?
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ser_aped.eth
· 12-04 02:55
Postponing without canceling—this is just testing the waters before buying the dip. The real test will come after next year's election; selling too much now is too risky.
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BearMarketSurvivor
· 12-01 08:20
Postponement does not equal cancellation, this is the trap of the US side, giving you sweet words while continuing to play the game of uncertainty, exhausting businesses.
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PseudoIntellectual
· 12-01 08:20
It's the same old trap of postponement again. Anyway, I can't see any real signs of relaxation, so I'll just consider it as earning another year.
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BearMarketMonk
· 12-01 08:20
The pause button has been pressed, but who knows when it will be pressed play again... How to utilize this window period this year is the key.
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TxFailed
· 12-01 08:18
honestly, "延期不撤销" is just cope language for "we're all still hostages" lol. seen this movie before—every time tariffs get extended, people act like crisis averted then boom, different admin changes the entire script overnight. supply chain hedging is basically just paying insurance premiums at this point, except you never know if the payout actually covers anything.
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ShibaOnTheRun
· 12-01 07:51
Postponement does not equal breakeven, isn't this the usual practice of the United States? First, give you a little sweetness to stabilize you, and then come back with a blow at the end of the year. I think it's better to quickly diversify risks during this year; relying on things like exemption renewals is too uncertain.
#美联储恢复降息进程 I just saw the news that the U.S. has decided to extend some of the exemptions on the Section 301 tariffs on China for another year. The batch that was supposed to be reimposed has now been put on hold.
$ETH This news serves as a buffer for those involved in cross-border trade chains. Common exempt categories such as electronic devices, mechanical parts, and daily necessities will not see a sudden spike in costs in the short term, and the stability of orders can be maintained for a while. For those doing business between China and the U.S., at least this year, there is no need to worry about sudden increases in tariffs disrupting the rhythm.
However, looking at it calmly, this is just a "postponement" not a "cancellation." The uncertainty of the trade policy itself still exists. With the elections approaching in the United States, the policy could change direction at any time. Is this year really a window of genuine easing, or is it just a calm before the storm? Should companies take the opportunity to increase shipments, or continue to file for supply chain diversification?
The global supply chain is still undergoing adjustments and restructuring. The extension of the exemption feels more like a temporary card with an expiration date; it can be used, but it's uncertain how long it will be usable. In this environment, those who can prepare multiple strategies in advance will have a stronger risk resistance capability.
How do you judge? Is this operation a tactical pause or is there really a sign of relaxation? Is your industry greatly affected by this policy? Will it change again next year?