I saw two interesting pieces of news over the weekend, and I think I need to pay attention when the market opens on Monday.
Let me start with a hot topic—Yongying's tech innovation AI ETF, which completely sold out its 1 billion quota on the first day. It was originally set for a 3-day issuance period, but it had to be wrapped up in just one day. This scene reminds me of the craziness of lithium batteries a few years ago, when money was pouring in one direction, what does it usually mean? It means that funds are voting with their feet. Last Friday, the main capital in the AI application sector flowed back in again, and this track is estimated to take the lead before the end of the year.
Look at the other side. The polysilicon companies can no longer sit still - 17 leading firms have come up with a big move: they are preparing to form a consortium to establish a platform company worth 50 billion, aiming to eliminate 1 million tons of excess capacity. In other words, they no longer want to engage in price wars; the competition within the industry has become too fierce, and it’s better for everyone to unite and clean up the market together. If this really comes to fruition, the supply-side fire will be ignited. Last week, some people sensed the wind early, and the main funds have quietly started to position themselves; it’s likely that what follows will be a main rising wave.
As for the market, the gap at 3856 points on Friday seems to have been filled. Now that December has just begun, the market style may change — November was all about themes, high-profile stocks, and various speculative plays, but December is often a time window where performance reigns supreme. If any sector has impressive Q3 earnings reports, the main players are likely to pay close attention.
I personally think it's not a big problem to reach 3900 points next week. Of course, this is just based on technical analysis and capital flow judgments. The market is unpredictable, but one must still be prepared. After all, the direction of increasing volume is already very clear; whether the fruits on the tree are ripe or not, you can see for yourself.
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ImpermanentPhilosopher
· 12-01 02:50
The Yongying AI ETF was snatched up for 1 billion in one day, I see this wave of capital flow is quite fierce...
If this consortium of polysilicon really gets it done, we need to see if they can bring down the price war, otherwise it would still be in vain...
The 3900 points might be able to break through, but the earnings season is the real killer move...
As the end of the year approaches, we need to check the financial reports, otherwise, the risk of following the hype is still quite high...
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TradFiRefugee
· 11-30 16:48
Buying the dip in silicon is also being arranged by some. If this wave of supply-side reform really comes, polysilicon will rise sharply.
1 billion a day gone in a flash? Is AI really on fire, or is it going to catch a falling knife again? We'll see.
3900 points shouldn't be hard, just afraid it might be another false rise, true results will be seen at the end of the month.
Yongying's operation is indeed outrageous, looks like they're about to start digging a pit again.
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Wait, are silicon companies joining forces to cut production capacity? If this really happens, it would be a signal to see which leader goes up first.
Is AI's money this crazy, is it reasonable? Anyway, I'm in, betting they will still perform at the end of the year.
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To be honest, the pit at 3856 feels a bit too shallow, I always think it needs to test down once more to be normal.
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rugdoc.eth
· 11-30 16:37
AI is indeed a bit fierce this time, snatching up a billion in a day, this rhythm feels a bit familiar.
The polysilicon consortium is trying to raise 50 billion, it sounds easy to say but hard to implement, at this level of competition, we can really only unite.
Should we try 3900 points this week? The key still depends on how the market maker plays the earnings card.
The pit has been filled, but there’s no certainty about the direction ahead, just keep an eye on the flow of funds.
How long can this style switch last? Is there still a chance before the end of the year?
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AirdropHunterZhang
· 11-30 16:31
Ha, one billion snatched in a day, this hype is a bit ridiculous.
I saw two interesting pieces of news over the weekend, and I think I need to pay attention when the market opens on Monday.
Let me start with a hot topic—Yongying's tech innovation AI ETF, which completely sold out its 1 billion quota on the first day. It was originally set for a 3-day issuance period, but it had to be wrapped up in just one day. This scene reminds me of the craziness of lithium batteries a few years ago, when money was pouring in one direction, what does it usually mean? It means that funds are voting with their feet. Last Friday, the main capital in the AI application sector flowed back in again, and this track is estimated to take the lead before the end of the year.
Look at the other side. The polysilicon companies can no longer sit still - 17 leading firms have come up with a big move: they are preparing to form a consortium to establish a platform company worth 50 billion, aiming to eliminate 1 million tons of excess capacity. In other words, they no longer want to engage in price wars; the competition within the industry has become too fierce, and it’s better for everyone to unite and clean up the market together. If this really comes to fruition, the supply-side fire will be ignited. Last week, some people sensed the wind early, and the main funds have quietly started to position themselves; it’s likely that what follows will be a main rising wave.
As for the market, the gap at 3856 points on Friday seems to have been filled. Now that December has just begun, the market style may change — November was all about themes, high-profile stocks, and various speculative plays, but December is often a time window where performance reigns supreme. If any sector has impressive Q3 earnings reports, the main players are likely to pay close attention.
I personally think it's not a big problem to reach 3900 points next week. Of course, this is just based on technical analysis and capital flow judgments. The market is unpredictable, but one must still be prepared. After all, the direction of increasing volume is already very clear; whether the fruits on the tree are ripe or not, you can see for yourself.