[Block Rhythm] Recently saw analyst Timothy Peterson make a quite interesting point - the current Bitcoin trend is almost like a copy and paste of the bear market in 2022.
He compared the data and found that the daily chart of Bitcoin this year has a correlation of 80% with that of 2022, while the monthly chart is even more exaggerated, with a direct correlation of 98%. To be honest, the degree of similarity is a bit scary.
According to the rhythm of this historical repetition, the real rebound of Bitcoin may not come until the first quarter of next year. At this stage, it is highly likely still in the bottoming phase.
Of course, historical data can only serve as a reference, and the market is always full of variables. However, this highly correlated comparison at least gives us a potential time anchor. Friends who want to buy the dip may need to be a little more patient.
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DegenDreamer
· 11-30 12:06
98%? Come on, who does this data scare?
Wait, are we really going to drag this out until Q1 next year? I've already loaded my bullets.
I believe in history repeating itself, but can it be different this time?
The ones buying in now are all dumb buyers, haha.
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FOMOSapien
· 11-30 12:06
98% correlation? I can't believe this trap
Rebound in Q1 next year? Then I might as well continue to lie flat now
History will repeat itself but will never be completely replicated, I've heard this data game too many times
Just grind through the bottom period, I've already become numb anyway
Wait, wait, wait, this time it really is different, right... forget it, whatever
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StableGeniusDegen
· 11-30 12:00
98% correlation? This data seems a bit suspect, will history really repeat itself so perfectly?
Wait until Q1? Alright, then I'll continue to earn Interest with stablecoins.
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NonFungibleDegen
· 11-30 11:41
ngl this 98% correlation thing is giving "history rhymes" energy... but fr tho if we're really waiting til q1 for the actual bounce, ima be down so bad by then lol
Bitcoin's trend is 98% similar to the bear market of 2022? Analyst: The real rebound may have to wait until Q1 next year.
[Block Rhythm] Recently saw analyst Timothy Peterson make a quite interesting point - the current Bitcoin trend is almost like a copy and paste of the bear market in 2022.
He compared the data and found that the daily chart of Bitcoin this year has a correlation of 80% with that of 2022, while the monthly chart is even more exaggerated, with a direct correlation of 98%. To be honest, the degree of similarity is a bit scary.
According to the rhythm of this historical repetition, the real rebound of Bitcoin may not come until the first quarter of next year. At this stage, it is highly likely still in the bottoming phase.
Of course, historical data can only serve as a reference, and the market is always full of variables. However, this highly correlated comparison at least gives us a potential time anchor. Friends who want to buy the dip may need to be a little more patient.