On November 30, the prediction data on Polymarket is quite interesting—will BTC be able to reach 100,000 dollars again this year? The market gives a 45% probability.

A more aggressive prediction is to hit 110,000 USD, but the confidence index is only 17%. On the other hand, 34% of people are betting on a pullback below 80,000 USD.

What does this wave of divergence indicate? It’s just a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. At this critical juncture at the end of the year, will it be a breakout or a pullback? The data is laid out here, what do you all think?