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#美SEC推动加密创新监管 Compound interest game's ultimate form: contract rollover principles


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In recent years, we have witnessed too many extreme cases. Some people have lost a million in capital in just one week, while some retail investors have rolled a thousand into a hundred thousand for withdrawal. The path of rollover is essentially dancing on the edge of a blade.

To be frank, it's just three things:

High leverage amplifies the principal: 100x leverage means that 10 US dollars can leverage a position of 1000 US dollars.

Compound interest accelerates growth: after each profit, use a larger principal to continue opening positions, 10 becomes 20, 20 becomes 40, exponential rollover.

One-sided trend sticking to the fight: If you judge an uptrend, only go long; if you judge a downtrend, only go short; do not swing back and forth.

Restoration of practical scenarios:

Assuming you have $300 in starting capital. Each time, you only take $10 to open a 100x leveraged contract, and a 1% fluctuation can double the principal (turning $10 into $11). The key action is to withdraw half of the profits each time (for example, if you earn $5, withdraw $2.5), and continue to roll the rest.

In theory, continuously judging 11 times, 10 dollars can roll over to 10,000 dollars. But what is reality?

90% of people fall into these pits:

After making a profit, the desire inflates: once the account reaches 5000, I want to see 50,000.

Emotional revenge during losses: Increasing leverage after losing 1000 to quickly make up for the loss.

Direction repeatedly jumps: chasing the rise today and killing the drop tomorrow, getting slapped on both sides.

My survival rules are only three:

Stop-loss is more important than take-profit: if you make 20 consecutive wrong judgments, you must take a forced break.

To secure profits: a portion must be withdrawn when the account reaches 5000 US dollars.

Patience is the key: it's better to stay in cash for 4 months than to act recklessly.

Is the current market suitable for rollover? You must first answer three questions:

Is the volatility enough? (The intraday fluctuation must be at least 3% or more)

Is the trend clear enough? (Continuous unilateral market rather than oscillation)

Can you just eat the fish body? (Give up the thought of bottom fishing and topping out)

Ultimately, rollover is not a daily operation, but a sniper tactic for waiting for a super market trend. Last year, I rolled $500 into $500,000 in three days, but before that, I observed the market empty for a full 4 months. If the timing is not right, no matter how much capital you have, it will just be cannon fodder.
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StablecoinArbitrageurvip
· 3h ago
actually, the math here doesn't quite check out. if you're taking out 50% after each win, your compounding stops being exponential—it's more like linear with noise. the sharpe ratio on a 100x leverage play during choppy consolidation? yeah, that's basically negative once you factor in funding rates and slippage.
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defi_detectivevip
· 10h ago
Really, 90% of people die because of greed. I have seen too many accounts go from five figures to three figures overnight. The key is still that old saying: being alive is more important than winning money.
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AirdropHunter420vip
· 11-29 21:06
The 90% of people who fail are those who don't take stop loss seriously. Really, a moment of greed leads to an account graveyard.
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FloorPriceNightmarevip
· 11-29 20:52
The theory sounds great, but in reality, it's just gambling with a different name... I've seen too many people who believe in this, and in the end, they all lose their shirts.
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HodlAndChillvip
· 11-29 20:46
100x leverage is a gamble, it's not about making money, it's about risking your life.
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SelfMadeRuggeevip
· 11-29 20:46
500 yuan rolled to 500,000? Alright, I believe you, but why didn't I see you post anything during those 4 months of Short Position...
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