Breaking: Fed rate cut probability soars to 85%, BTC surges as the window to 100,000 dollars opens.

The two core officials of the Fed simultaneously released a strong signal for rate cuts: Governor Minda stated that the current interest rates hinder the economy and there is no inflation concern, while San Francisco Fed President Daly warned that employment risks require action in advance of December. The market's probability of a rate cut surged to 84.7% instantly, with US stocks and gold soaring simultaneously, marking a critical breakthrough point for the crypto market.

Core logic: The three main supports of this market trend.

1. Policy shift is clear: The Fed's attitude has reversed 180°, with officials rarely united in releasing easing expectations, and policy driving force is at full throttle.
2. Comprehensive data adaptation: Core PPI increased only by 2.6%, retail sales grew by 0.2% month-on-month, with dual support for interest rate cuts from cooling inflation and slowing consumption.
3. Market Resonance Verification: The Dow Jones surged by 1.43%, Apple reached an all-time high, gold broke its previous high, and funds are simultaneously releasing risk aversion and profit-seeking demand.

Impact and Key Levels of the Crypto Market

- BTC: Breakthrough of 90,000, next target is the range of 95,000-100,000, support at 88,500-89,500
- ETH: Stabilized at the 3000 level, the rebound market has started, with support at 2950-3050.
- Capital Flow: ETF net inflow exceeded 800 million USD in a single day, institutional funds are entering at an accelerated pace.

Practical Strategy

- Position: 50% spot as a base, keeping cash on hand for flexibility, balancing offense and defense.
- Allocation: Core positions in BTC + ETH, small positions in high-quality altcoins.
- Risk Control: Set a trailing stop loss to lock in existing profits and avoid pullback losses.

Key Reminder

The stage of consensus formation for the Fed's easing is precisely the period when the market's explosive power is strongest, rising amidst doubts and ending in a frenzy. It is crucial to avoid exiting early and missing the main upward wave.

Voting Interaction

Can BTC reach 100,000, and ETH see 5,000? Or will the positive news lead to a pullback? Share your positions in the comments and let's witness the market breakout together!