Cipher Mining’s stock delivered a jaw-dropping performance on Monday — up 34.6% at peak, settling at +20.1% by afternoon close. Here’s the twist: the company actually missed Q3 earnings expectations across the board. So what sparked the rally?
The AWS Megadeal Changes Everything
The real story is a 15-year, $5.5 billion contract with Amazon Web Services. Cipher just became an AI data center operator that mines Bitcoin on the side — a complete 180 from its original identity.
Breakdown of the shift:
Service launch: 2026
First payments due: August 2025
Revenue model: Fixed-income data center contracts instead of volatile crypto mining
Numbers That Missed, But Growth Speaks Louder
Q3 results showed solid operational momentum even if they didn’t beat estimates:
Bitcoin mining revenue: $71.7M (up 197% YoY from $24.1M)
EPS: $0.10 profit vs. $0.01 loss prior year
Analyst targets: $76.5M revenue, $0.11 EPS (Cipher came close but fell short)
The miss didn’t matter because Wall Street’s real interest is in what comes next.
Why This Deal Matters for the Entire Mining Sector
This isn’t just Cipher’s story anymore — it’s a blueprint. When Bitcoin crashed, mining profitability got hit hard. By stacking predictable AI data center income on top of volatile mining revenue, operators hedge against crypto downturns.
We’re seeing an industry-wide shift: Cipher already has deals with Fluidstack and Google Cloud. Other major miners are exploring similar pivots. The computing infrastructure that powers Bitcoin mining works perfectly for AI workloads — same heat management, same power distribution, same real estate.
The Strategic Implication
Traditional Bitcoin miners bet everything on the price of BTC. This new model de-risks the entire operation:
When crypto booms: Mining profit skyrockets while data center revenue stays steady
When crypto crashes: Data center fees keep the lights on
It’s a maturation story. The industry is moving from speculative mining to infrastructure as a service.
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Mining Giants Pivot: Why Bitcoin Miners Are Now AI Landlords
Cipher Mining’s stock delivered a jaw-dropping performance on Monday — up 34.6% at peak, settling at +20.1% by afternoon close. Here’s the twist: the company actually missed Q3 earnings expectations across the board. So what sparked the rally?
The AWS Megadeal Changes Everything
The real story is a 15-year, $5.5 billion contract with Amazon Web Services. Cipher just became an AI data center operator that mines Bitcoin on the side — a complete 180 from its original identity.
Breakdown of the shift:
Numbers That Missed, But Growth Speaks Louder
Q3 results showed solid operational momentum even if they didn’t beat estimates:
The miss didn’t matter because Wall Street’s real interest is in what comes next.
Why This Deal Matters for the Entire Mining Sector
This isn’t just Cipher’s story anymore — it’s a blueprint. When Bitcoin crashed, mining profitability got hit hard. By stacking predictable AI data center income on top of volatile mining revenue, operators hedge against crypto downturns.
We’re seeing an industry-wide shift: Cipher already has deals with Fluidstack and Google Cloud. Other major miners are exploring similar pivots. The computing infrastructure that powers Bitcoin mining works perfectly for AI workloads — same heat management, same power distribution, same real estate.
The Strategic Implication
Traditional Bitcoin miners bet everything on the price of BTC. This new model de-risks the entire operation:
It’s a maturation story. The industry is moving from speculative mining to infrastructure as a service.