Bitcoin Halving Is Coming—Here's What History Tells Us About Price Action

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BTC halving event scheduled for April 20th, and the charts have a pretty wild story to tell. Let’s talk numbers:

The Pattern: Every halving cuts miner rewards in half (supply control). It’s happened 3 times before, and every. single. time. investors who hodl’d made bank.

Previous Returns After Halving:

  • 2020 (May): Halving day $8,601 → 300 days later $50,941 (+492%)
  • 2016 (July): Halving day $658 → 300 days later $1,551 (+136%)
  • 2012 (Nov): Halving day $12 → 300 days later $135 (+987%)

The Catch? Context matters. Back then, BTC was dirt cheap and economies were either flooded with stimulus (2020) or still discovering crypto (2016/2012). This time around:

  1. BTC is already near all-time highs—way more expensive than before
  2. No tsunami of stimulus money like COVID era
  3. Macro conditions are tighter than they were
  4. The market already knows about the halving, so it might be priced in

Real Talk: Yes, history rhymes with 100-500% gains. But don’t confuse “could happen” with “will happen.” Buying the dip before halving isn’t a cheat code. This is still a high-risk asset—only invest what you can afford to lose.

BTC-0.78%
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