The logic is as follows: The Fed's interest rate cut has become a foregone conclusion. The variable decreases by either 25 points or 50 points. The data released today reflects that there is a low probability of 50 points. ( This is another reasoning process, which will not be elaborated on here. ) After 25 basis points, as the expectations of interest rate cuts begin, the chips accumulated by holding up high funding costs need to start being realized. Key point: Lowering interest rates is a slow process, but the cost of high interest rates cannot last that long! U.S. stocks, gold, and the dollar index all fell. So don't buy spot, don't buy spot! The chip cashing out has actually started happening recently! Clues can be found from the technical perspective. The entire chip distribution process will develop relatively slowly, and there will not be a significant drop; that is a washout, not a sell-off. It cannot be simply understood that good news being exhausted means bad news. The best short positions are after an interest rate cut and a violent rebound after a crash. If the rebound can reach a new high, then that's the golden top!
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Hardcore Bear再次洗脑
The logic is as follows:
The Fed's interest rate cut has become a foregone conclusion.
The variable decreases by either 25 points or 50 points.
The data released today reflects that there is a low probability of 50 points. ( This is another reasoning process, which will not be elaborated on here. )
After 25 basis points, as the expectations of interest rate cuts begin, the chips accumulated by holding up high funding costs need to start being realized.
Key point: Lowering interest rates is a slow process, but the cost of high interest rates cannot last that long!
U.S. stocks, gold, and the dollar index all fell.
So don't buy spot, don't buy spot!
The chip cashing out has actually started happening recently! Clues can be found from the technical perspective.
The entire chip distribution process will develop relatively slowly, and there will not be a significant drop; that is a washout, not a sell-off. It cannot be simply understood that good news being exhausted means bad news.
The best short positions are after an interest rate cut and a violent rebound after a crash. If the rebound can reach a new high, then that's the golden top!