12 月 ETH 价格预测 · 发帖挑战 📈
12 月降息预期升温,ETH 热点回暖,借此窗口期发起行情预测互动!
欢迎 Gate 社区用户 —— 判趋势 · 猜行情 · 赢奖励 💰
奖励 🎁:预测命中的用户中抽取 5 位,每位 10 USDT
时间 📅:预测截止 12 月 11 日 12:00(UTC+8)
参与方式 ✍️:
在 Gate 广场发布 ETH 行情预测帖,写明价格区间(如 $3,200–$3,400,区间需<$200),并添加话题 #ETH12月行情预测
发帖示例 👇
示例①:
#ETH12月行情预测
预测区间:$3,150-$3,250
行情偏震荡上行,若降息如期落地 + ETF 情绪配合,冲击前高可期 🚀
示例②:
#ETH12月行情预测
预测区间:$3,300-$3,480
资金回流 + L2 降费利好中期趋势,向上试探 $3,400 的概率更高 📊
评选规则 📍
以 12 月 11 日 12:00(UTC+8)ETH 实时价格为参考
价格落入预测区间 → 视为命中
若命中人数>5 → 从命中者中随机抽取 5 位 🏆
$400 Million Bitcoin Options Expiry: Will It Impact the Recent Rally?
Approximately 14,000 Bitcoin options contracts, with a total notional value of around $400 million, are set to expire that day, though this event is notably smaller than last week’s expiry.
The “max pain” point for these options contracts is $27,000, which is approximately $700 below Bitcoin’s current spot price.
The max pain point represents the price level at which most open contracts exist and where most losses occur when contracts expire.
Balanced put/call ratio
The put/call ratio for these options stands at 0.89, indicating a relatively balanced distribution between sellers of long and short positions.
A put option is a bet that the price of an asset will fall, while a call option is a bet that the price will rise.
Bitcoin’s price trend for the week has been upward, with holiday-related factors contributing to lower trading volumes during Asian hours.
Analysts note that October – as well as the fourth quarter as a whole – have historically seen uptrends in the crypto market.
However, positioning by traders in bearish put options remains significant, and liquidity has been decreasing recently, leading to speculation that a major market movement – potentially to the downside – could occur in October.
In addition to Bitcoin options, around 200,000 Ether (ETH) options contracts, with a notional value of $330 million, are also set to expire on October 6.
These Ether options have a similar put/call ratio of 0.87 to that of Bitcoin.
Despite the options expiry, the impact on spot markets remains uncertain, with the event often passing without any significant impact.
Bitcoin has experienced a 3% retracement from its recent spike to $28,500, and is currently trading around $27,700.
Ether has seen a 6.6% decrease since its Monday peak, with a current price of $1,630.