Strategy faces solvency challenges with 712,000 Bitcoins in negative returns

The drop in Bitcoin to around $68,890 increased Strategy Inc.'s holdings to a critical level, with the company recording paper losses on its large positions. The company holds 712,647 unencumbered Bitcoins at an average cost of $76,037 per unit, well above the current market price. According to CoinDesk analysis, this dynamic creates significant challenges, but analysts point out that the company’s financial solvency is not facing an immediate crisis thanks to its adaptable debt structure and the absence of pledged collateral.

Michael Saylor and his team structured the Bitcoin accumulation strategy to avoid direct exposure to forced liquidations, even with the cryptocurrency holdings operating below historical costs. The latest SEC filing documents that Strategy acquired 855 Bitcoins between January 26 and February 1, 2026, spending $75.3 million at an average price of $87,974. These purchases now show substantial accounting losses compared to current prices.

The convertible debt structure protects financial solvency

The company’s total Bitcoin position remains fully unencumbered, with no pledged collateral on the loans. This setup eliminates mechanisms that would trigger forced sales, even if prices fall to even lower levels.

Strategy carries $8.2 billion in convertible debt instruments, which offer multiple management options. The company can extend maturities or convert obligations into shares as needed. The first relevant maturity date is not until the third quarter of 2027, providing a time horizon for potential recovery of Bitcoin assets. SEC filings reveal that the company increased the dividend rate on its Perpetual Variable Rate Series A Preferred Shares from 11% to 11.25%, effective February 1, 2026. The cash designated for dividend payments totals $2.25 billion.

Unpledged collateral eliminates immediate liquidation risks

The real pressure does not emerge in the short-term of immediate solvency but in the company’s future ability to raise funds for new Bitcoin acquisitions. Historically, Strategy financed its purchases through equity issuances, taking advantage of periods when its shares traded at a premium over the net asset value of the underlying assets.

The premium and discount dynamics act as a catalyst for growth strategy. When the stock was near $90,000 last week, its multiple was 1.15x, indicating a premium over Bitcoin assets. However, the subsequent drop to levels near $68,890 shifted this dynamic, placing the shares at a discount below 1.0x relative to the value of the Bitcoins held.

Equity issuance slows as market premium declines

New share offerings become less attractive when trading at a discount to the underlying asset value. Each issuance would dilute existing shareholders’ exposure to the company’s cryptocurrency wealth. Strategy’s history in 2022 provides a relevant precedent: when shares traded below Bitcoin asset values for most of the year, the company added only 10,000 Bitcoins to its holdings, at a significantly slower pace.

SEC records show that Strategy sold 673,527 Class A shares during the reporting period, generating $106.1 million in net proceeds. The company maintains $8.06 billion available for future offerings under its continuous offering program (ATM). This financing capacity remains available, but its utilization faces market perception challenges.

Outlook for Bitcoin accumulation at Strategy

Strategy’s 712,647 Bitcoins represent approximately 3.4% of the total supply cap of 21 million units. This concentration has sparked discussions about network decentralization and potential risks associated with leverage-funded accumulation strategies. Market pressure on prices tests the structural solvency, although protection mechanisms eliminate forced liquidation scenarios.

The broader cryptocurrency market experienced liquidations exceeding $510 million during recent volatility periods. Strategy maintains an updated public dashboard at strategy.com providing real-time information on Bitcoin positions, financial metrics, and performance data, offering transparency to stakeholders regarding operational solvency.

Key points:

  • Strategy’s 712,647 Bitcoins show accounting losses as Bitcoin trades below the average historical cost of $76,037
  • The unsecured convertible debt structure ensures solvency is not at immediate risk of forced liquidation
  • The discount of shares relative to the underlying asset value slows Bitcoin accumulation via new issuances
  • The company holds $2.25 billion in cash reserves and $8.06 billion in available financing capacity for future operations
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