2026-01-14 04:00:29

#2026年比特币价格展望 Bitcoin is "throwing a tantrum" with global liquidity. It started to decouple noticeably around mid-2025, and by 2026, this phenomenon will be even more apparent. Will it soar to new heights or experience a free fall? Major institutional players are already arguing fiercely.

Some are hinting: the global monetary easing cycle is about to start, and central banks are winding down their balance sheet reductions. This is a golden opportunity for $BTC. Analysts openly state — Bitcoin will eventually catch up with the growth curve of global M2, and the rally has already begun!

But the alarm bells are also ringing loudly. On the other hand, a more sobering voice says: historical data shows that once Bitcoin decouples from M2, it often signals a market top and the onset of a bear market. Even more boldly, some propose a daring hypothesis: this decoupling might secretly hide the threat of quantum computing — the risk of cryptographic algorithms being cracked is lurking, and market confidence may already be weakening behind the scenes.

The numbers are right there, but how you interpret them depends on your stance. Do you believe in the bullish scenario of the easing cycle, or do you sense the danger signals of a bear market approaching?

More and more people are holding assets like $ETH, $XRP as long-term investments, viewing Bitcoin as "digital gold." But is this decoupling an opportunity to bottom out, or the last frenzy before a crash?

What’s your opinion? The comment section is fiery — are you a supporter of liquidity injections or a bear market skeptic? Share your answer. How real is the threat of quantum computing? Forward this to your crypto friends and see what they think.

BTC3,58%

ETH5,03%

XRP1,12%

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StakeOrRegret

· 5h ago

Decoupling, honestly, is just institutions betting on the central bank's intentions, and we're betting on the institutions' intentions. Whoever guesses right makes money. Quantum computing... people are just scaring others with it here. If it were to be cracked, it’s still a long way off. I just want to ask, is this wave a bottom signal or a top trap? Even big V influencers can't tell clearly. The rhetoric of the liquidity injection camp sounds good, but data doesn't lie. M2 decoupling is really not a good sign. I agree with stacking ETH and XRP, but treating BTC as gold? That sounds nice, but it's actually just short-term chips. This round of market movement is hard to tell the direction. I actually prefer assets with solid fundamentals. Squatting or diving? Let’s wait until it rises. Anyway, the coins I hold can still drop another half.

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ParallelChainMaxi

· 6h ago

Decoupling, I think it's a bit exaggerated; historical data isn't a hard rule. The M2 stuff has been outdated for a long time; it's a bit funny to still use it as a reference now. Quantum computing threats? Wake up, even if it really comes, it's not happening now. I believe in a loose cycle, but whether Bitcoin can keep up is a matter of two opinions. The liquidity injection camp and the crash camp are actually betting; whoever guesses right is right. Instead of obsessing over decoupling, it's better to think about where your cost basis is. The opportunity for deep dips is relative; it mainly depends on whether you can withstand it.

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TradingNightmare

· 17h ago

Quantum computing threat? Bro, that's just ridiculous. If it was really about cracking, they would have done it long ago. What's the point of using this as an excuse now? --- Decoupling is decoupling. Anyway, I'm a long-term holder. Who cares about bull or bear markets? --- Stop arguing about hype and collapse factions. To be clear, they're all just gambling. --- Is the M2 growth rate not keeping up? I think it's institutions shaking out their positions. Don't be scared. --- Historical data? Last year's predictions all failed this year. Who still believes in that? --- Whether to squat or dive depends on the central bank's stance. I bet on a loosening cycle. --- $BTC as a store of value like gold, $ETH as chips to play with. This strategy is pretty solid. --- The most heartbreaking thing is that decoupling might not be a big deal at all; it's just the market looking for an outlet to relieve pressure. --- Quantum threats? Don't buy into these illusions. I'm more worried about sudden policy cuts. --- It's fun to see everyone arguing. I'm just waiting to buy the dip.

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GraphGuru

· 17h ago

Decoupling is decoupling, anyway M2 can't save the coin price. This wave is either bottom accumulation or a big retreat, with no middle ground. Honestly, I don't quite buy the quantum threat narrative; it seems more like marketing anxiety. When the easing cycle truly arrives, it wouldn't be surprising for BTC to rise again. The key is whether institutions are still holding or not. Both the liquidity injection camp and the collapse camp have their reasons, but I bet a bottom dip is more likely. This decoupling feels like the market is digesting expectations; it doesn't necessarily have to be a bad signal.

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MevShadowranger

· 17h ago

Coming again with decoupling theory? The last time someone said that, they’re now crying. --- M2 growth rate? Bro, you’re still looking at last year’s data. --- Quantum computing threat? Wake up, if it really comes, we all won’t be able to play, stop scaring people. --- The pumpers and the crashers both sound convincing, but no one dares to go all in—that’s the answer. --- Bottom deep squat or the final frenzy, anyway I don’t have that many bullets left. --- The more people see BTC as digital gold, the less it resembles gold. --- Historical data? Bro, the background conditions of historical data have never been repeated.

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RamenDeFiSurvivor

· 17h ago

Just disconnect if you want, I can't understand these data anyway, just go all-in on $BTC. Quantum computing threat? Wake up, if it was really coming, it would have already caused a major crash. This is just creating panic. Once the easing cycle starts, $ETH has a chance to turn around. I'm betting on it. If this turns out to be a scam again, I really can't afford to play anymore haha. M2 growth rate curve? Basically, it's like guessing a coin flip, don't pretend to understand.

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LiquidationWatcher

· 17h ago

ngl this btc-m2 decoupling thing gives me 2022 ptsd vibes... been there, lost that. honestly the quantum threat angle feels like cope tbh, but who am I after getting liquidated twice lol. just watching my health factor like a hawk rn, not touching leverage until this clears up fr fr.

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BetterLuckyThanSmart

· 18h ago

Is decoupling a bottom signal or a top warning? To be honest, I can't be sure, but holding BTC definitely isn't wrong. Quantum computing is getting too mysterious; maybe it's still too early to worry about it. If a loosening cycle really arrives, BTC won't escape, but the question is, will the central bank really loosen monetary policy? Just look at how last year played out. Instead of worrying about how 2026 will go, it's better to ask yourself whether you can hold onto your chips. Both the easing camp and the crash camp have their reasons; that's just how the market is—it's a gamble on whose logic is more solid. I'm optimistic about ETH and XRP in the long term, but this recent decoupling of BTC is indeed a bit strange. I've heard too many theories about M2 growth rate; the key is that even the big institutional players lack confidence. Instead of trying to predict, it's better to DCA—consistent accumulation is the way to go.

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