Bitcoin's 2026 trajectory is eerily mirroring what we witnessed in 2022, 2018, and 2014—and the parallels are striking. These mid-cycle years shared a common script: explosive rallies in January's opening week, followed by brutal bleeds that dragged prices down 60-70% by mid-year.

History doesn't always repeat, but when patterns align this precisely across four separate cycles, it's worth paying attention. The question isn't whether the pattern holds—it's whether this time actually breaks the mold.

But here's the real talk: betting your entire portfolio on a contrarian thesis against four years of historical precedent? That's not investing, that's gambling. Even if you're right about Bitcoin defying gravity, is the risk-reward calculation worth wiping yourself out if you're wrong? The data whispers caution, even if the bull case feels compelling.