Has institutional holding changed Bitcoin's selling cycle?

【区块律动】最近有个有趣的观察——机构大户持有比特币的策略变了。以前那种鲸鱼砸盘然后散户跟风抛售的套路,现在基本见不到了。原因很简单,资金流向太分散了。不光是比特币,股票、贵金属这些也在分流资金,所以想预测资金进场时机,意义不大。

Strategy这样的机构手里握着67.3万枚比特币,但你不用担心他们会大量甩卖。长期机构的入场改变了游戏规则。往前看,与其说会跌到历史高点以下50%那么惨,不如说更可能是几个月的横盘整理。这轮周期的性质确实不一样了。

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StakeOrRegretvip
· 01-08 05:00
Institutional accumulation has changed the game; retail investors are still dreaming. Basically, the big players are no longer dumping, so we don't have the chance to buy the dip. It's a bit boring. 67 million Bitcoins locked, this is indeed different... I can accept sideways movement for a few months. In the past, when whales dumped, we were done for. Now, predictions are useless. Funds are too dispersed—stocks, metals, and the crypto world are all competing for money. Who knows what the next trend will be? If institutions hold long-term, then retail investors should just guard their own gardens. Sideways consolidation is much better than a crash; at least the mind isn't so exhausted. This cycle has really taken a turn; the old routines are completely ineffective.
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MEVSandwichMakervip
· 01-08 02:20
Institutional accumulation has changed the game. Retail investors are still waiting for the drama of being wiped out, which is a bit funny. Massive institutional chips are locked in, and sideways trading is the way to go. Don't think about catching a drop for a bargain anymore. Basically, the whales are no longer dumping, so we don't have to be so anxious. 67,300,000 coins are in Strategy's hands. The potential is quite large, and the long-term is truly long-term. Too much dispersed capital actually acts as a stabilizer. This cycle has indeed changed its approach. As long as institutions hold, it's stable. Does this mean the fate of retail investors has improved? Haha. Holding long-term changes everything. This round won't be as violent as before.
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BoredApeResistancevip
· 01-08 02:19
Institutions are tired of the old bottom-fishing tricks. Now, it's all about who can catch the rebound during the sideways consolidation. Honestly, if I had to choose, I would bet on the sideways movement, because as long as it doesn't crash, it means there's a bottom at some level. Large holders holding so many coins and not selling actually makes retail investors more comfortable, no need to be anxious all the time. The fact that funds are dispersed is actually a good sign, indicating that the market is maturing and not controlled by just one or two whales. This cycle does feel a bit different this time.
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ValidatorVikingvip
· 01-08 02:15
nah the whale dump cycle breaking is real but let's be honest... predicting inflows across assets is still just copium. institutional hodlers changing the game? sure, but that doesn't mean consensus finality on price action lol. sideways grind for months sounds battle-tested enough tho.
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TokenomicsDetectivevip
· 01-08 02:08
Well, the whales are starting to hold back on selling, which has indeed changed the rhythm. Institutions are holding their positions without dumping, while retail investors are becoming more anxious. The idea of capital flow diversion is correct; predicting entry points really doesn't make much sense anymore. 730,000 coins sitting still—that's the real ballast. Compared to a 50% crash, I believe more in the idea of sideways trading for a few months; anyway, everyone is already trapped. This cycle definitely feels different; there's no longer the aggressive dumping rhythm from before. Institutional entry has actually stabilized the price, making it potentially harder for retail investors to make quick profits. It seems the whales have also learned to be smarter—gradually eating rather than dumping directly is more profitable.
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TestnetFreeloadervip
· 01-08 01:59
I have to say, this logic doesn't quite hold up. If funds are dispersed, you can't predict? Then how come the fact that institutions hold 670,000 coins has become a certainty? It feels like they're just trying to reassure everyone. Sideways trading for a few months? I don't think so. The key still depends on what the Federal Reserve does.
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LayerHoppervip
· 01-08 01:53
Whale tactics have gone bankrupt now, and it's the era of institutional play. Retail investors need to change their approach accordingly. Sideways trading for a few months? Then I should prepare some idle funds and not go all-in waiting for a sharp drop. Holding 670,000 tokens in Strategy doesn't scare me; it actually makes me feel more confident. No one dares to risk their own assets. Funds are too scattered, making it hard to guess the rhythm. Should I look at candlestick charts or news? I'm a bit confused. This cycle's nature is different, but that doesn't mean there's no opportunity. Only those who learn to build positions during sideways periods will win.
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