Every year at the beginning of the year, there are always a group of voices riding the traffic—A-shares breaking 10,000 points, gold rising by 5,000... As a result, retail investors become the bagholders. But regarding the judgment of the crypto market, I dare to say based on 8 years of watching the market: true turnaround opportunities are often hidden within data patterns.

Why is that? Just look at BTC's history and you'll understand. The bear market cycles have never been random—2014 saw a decline lasting 410 days, 2018 lasted 363 days, and by 2022 it was 377 days. This is not a coincidence; it’s the rhythm of market capital battles. In other words, the iron law of "bottoming out in a year" is more punctual than anything else.

Let's do another calculation: assuming the peak of this bull market occurs around October 7, 2025, pushing forward 364 days would bring us to October 6, 2026. This timing is not mystical speculation but an inevitable process of large funds accumulating— they need a full year to grind retail investors down to the point of selling at a loss. When you cry and leave the market, they will quietly build positions at the bottom.

But here’s a harsh reality: even if the date is precise to the day, most people still can't make money. The gap between cognition and execution is often bigger than market opportunities. Those who understand the patterns achieve steady gains, while following the crowd always results in missing the rhythm. This is the survival rule of the crypto market.