2026-01-03 09:23:51

Contract trading, to put it simply, is a game of probabilities. Can ordinary people turn things around? Yes, but only if you survive.

I started trading years ago with 8,000 yuan, with the mindset of "double it and run." Three days of passionate trading, two days of confusion in the market, and on the third day, I almost got liquidated. At that time, I was holding my phone in my hand, my palms sweaty. Surviving was purely a matter of luck.

It wasn't until later that I realized the problem wasn't the market, but myself.

I've seen too many people relying solely on feelings to trade, adding positions out of stubbornness, and relying on luck to stop-loss. These people all share the same ending—liquidation. Even more brutal, if you lose 90%, trying to make back 90%? No, you need to multiply nine times to get back to the starting point. That's math, not chicken soup.

The turning point came from a realization: **In front of the market, a system is more valuable than courage.**

I started studying the Bollinger indicator. Many people have heard of this name, but few truly understand it. Once you understand its logic, your trading framework becomes clearer. There was a month when I used this rhythm, and my account achieved a 30x return. It wasn't luck; it was because I was doing the right thing.

The key difference is this: some people trade purely based on mood and others' calls, while some have a clear trading system. The former is gambling; the latter is trading.

If you're still stuck in the cycle of "liquidation → reinvestment → liquidation again," it's time to stop and think. Your problem might just be lacking a reliable strategy. Combining capital and direction is the way to truly move forward.

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BearMarketMonk

· 01-06 09:07

That's right, but almost getting liquidated with 8000 yuan and still surviving is really lucky. I've seen worse situations. The Boll indicator is indeed useful, but very few people actually stick to the system. Most people just can't change that habit. The system itself is really important, but execution is too difficult. Honestly, the math of losing 90% and needing nine times the original to break even—how many people can truly understand that? I've seen too many cases of liquidation cycles, and they basically can't recover. One question, is your 30x return truly reproducible, or was it just a month where the market happened to cooperate?

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RektButSmiling

· 01-04 13:34

That's right, the key is to have your own logic; otherwise, you're just giving money to the exchange.

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GasFeeTherapist

· 01-03 09:54

That's right, survival is the top priority. I've seen too many accounts turn red and still stubbornly hold on, which is really absurd. The formula that it takes a ninefold liquidation to break even hits home; many people haven't even realized they've already dug themselves so deep. However, I still believe that no matter how clear the system is, it can't withstand sudden market reversals. The Bollinger indicator is good, but it also has its moments of failure, especially when a black swan event occurs.

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GasGuru

· 01-03 09:42

Sounds good, but does the 30x in one month mean you caught the right trend at the right time? 🤔 No matter how perfect the system is, it still needs to align with market conditions.

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AlwaysMissingTops

· 01-03 09:37

It's really heartbreaking, but many people simply can't let go. They only realize that increasing positions can't be driven by emotions after losing everything and going bankrupt.

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WalletsWatcher

· 01-03 09:29

That's right, I was cut like that, and I still thought I could beat the sky and the earth. --- Nine margin calls, each time thinking the next trade would turn things around, but in the end, the market just kept grinding me down. --- The system sounds simple, but actually doing it is really hard. Most people just don't have the patience. --- Almost lost 8,000 yuan, right? I didn't stop at once, went all the way to zero, I still remember that feeling. --- The Boll indicator is indeed useful, but you have to really understand it, not just watch videos about it. --- The problem is, how many people can stick to a system for more than three months? Almost none. --- That's why nine out of ten people trading crypto lose money, and the remaining one is also losing, just their accounts haven't been wiped out yet. --- Few people seriously study indicators; most rely on luck and calls, and start regretting after getting cut. --- The idea of needing nine times the capital to break even is really harsh; most people can't hold out until that day.

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DaoTherapy

· 01-03 09:27

That's right, it's just a matter of lacking a system. I was the same in the early days, watching candlestick charts until my eyes hurt, but I still got called out and cut several rounds. Now I understand that the rise and fall of Bitcoin isn't a big deal; the real issue is whether you can hold on.

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BlindBoxVictim

· 01-03 09:25

That hits too close to home. I'm just that fool who makes trades based on intuition.

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