#数字资产市场动态 The Biggest Options Expiration Day of the Year Concludes: $28 Billion in Massive Positions Changed Hands



Yesterday can be called a historic day in the crypto world—the record-breaking options expiration day officially took place, and those huge "betting contracts" in the market settled all at once.

The data is very straightforward: Bitcoin's maximum pain point is set at 95,000, Ethereum at 3,100. The final market trend was well below these levels, meaning a large number of bullish options were directly crushed, and the short sellers ended up laughing last.

But what’s truly worth digging into isn’t the expiration itself, but **what happens after**.

According to on-chain data, after the expiration, major funds generally shifted their positions to options contracts expiring around the end of March next year. Even more interestingly, over 30% of these new positions are "out-of-the-money call options"—in other words, institutions and large investors are collectively betting that there will be a significant upward move in the first quarter of next year, with target prices not at the current levels but pointing to higher ranges.

What does this reveal? The huge uncertainty has been released, and the market has shed a heavy burden. The newly opened main positions are highly aligned in their bullish outlook for the distant future, laying a deep foundation for the Q1 market. In other words, the sluggishness in Q4 might just be the buildup phase for the next wave of market movement.

**So, how should one respond?**

Don’t rush, and don’t blindly increase positions. Options expiration itself isn’t a direct trigger for market rallies; its core significance lies in clearing out old position structures and signaling where big funds are positioning themselves for the future.

**Conservative players**: The current market volatility may temporarily decline, making it suitable for "lying flat and observing" or focusing on low-risk returns from seller strategies.

**Aggressive players**: You can start reserving positions for the Q1 market, but the key principle is to deploy gradually and strictly control your positions. Remember, we are still in the bottom-building phase, and it’s far from the stage of full-position betting.

The most chaotic chapter has already turned the page, and a new game is unfolding. Market data continues to tell a story—by understanding the main players’ new directions, you can seize opportunities in the next cycle.
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WagmiWarriorvip
· 4h ago
280 billion USD turnover, the main force is hinting at a surge in Q1, pretty interesting. The big players are betting on the first quarter of next year, while retail investors are still debating the current decline. Are we getting it backwards? Virtual out-of-the-money call options are over 30%? How are these institutions so optimistic about what's coming? It feels like a trap to me. I don't dare to go all-in, but I can't just sit back and do nothing either. Let's accumulate in batches and wait for the wind to come. This options expiration feels like a signal that big funds are consolidating positions and clearing out old ones. The real show is yet to come.
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ProbablyNothingvip
· 4h ago
$28 billion turnover, main players are all laying out for Q1... Is this wave really about to rise? --- The bears laughed last, but looking at their March position layout, I believe it. --- After shedding a heavy burden, is it time to enter now? Or is it better to wait for more stability? --- The out-of-the-money call options account for 30%, this detail really tells a story. --- The sluggish Q4 is just building momentum, take it with a grain of salt and don't believe everything. --- Main players are positioning for Q1, should small investors follow or stay away? --- $28 billion worth of chips have completed the turnover, a new chess game is truly unfolding.
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SneakyFlashloanvip
· 4h ago
$28 billion turnover, big players are secretly watching Q1. It looks like this wave is really about to rise. Wait, 30% out-of-the-money call options? Are these institutions crazy, or are they really confident about pushing in Q1? Lying flat and observing is indeed stable, but missing the starting point of the rise is also quite uncomfortable. Gradually building positions sounds appealing, but the key is to hold steady without selling. I only half believe the story from the main players; after all, they told us the same thing yesterday.
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OnchainGossipervip
· 4h ago
Spending 28 billion just to build momentum? I feel like the main players are just cutting leeks. The big players are all buying out-of-the-money call options, so are retail investors being played again? If Q1 can really rise, I’ll buy in. For now, I’ll just relax and watch the show. After this delivery, Bitcoin didn’t see much increase; it seems we still need to grind sideways. Now talking about long-term bullishness, once we start losing again next year, there will be no more voices. If the main players are all bullish with their positions, does that mean good news? I don’t believe this narrative. DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) sounds easy to talk about, but you need spare cash; how can retail investors do it?
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LuckyBlindCatvip
· 4h ago
$28 billion settlement completed, big players are all betting on Q1... okay, I’ll wait and see --- 30% out-of-the-money call options, are these institutions really daring or just pretending to be? --- Lying flat and observing, anyway, if you get in now, you're just a leek --- Tired of hearing about the bottoming cycle, when will it actually happen? --- Main players have shifted to March options, indicating there’s really no hope in these two months --- Short sellers are making full profits, call options are exploding, this is the normal state in the crypto world --- Diverse positioning sounds simple, but in reality, it’s all just a ride to cut losses --- If the Q1 market really arrives, we’ll see. Anyone believing this nonsense now has to pay tuition --- The most chaotic page has been turned... so my losses over these months are just a backdrop
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